Ben Butler leads the FL-09 Republican primary field with a 51.4% implied probability, ahead of Thomas Chalifoux at 30%, as traders weigh recent polling and endorsements ahead of the August 18 vote. A Victory Insights survey from early August showed the top four candidates—Butler, Chalifoux, Jorge Martinez, and Dan Green—statistically tied within the margin of error amid high undecided voters. Butler, an Okeechobee rancher and South Florida Water Management District member, has secured key agricultural endorsements and support from Florida congressional Republicans including Anna Paulina Luna, Kat Cammack, and Greg Steube. Chalifoux, the 2024 nominee and former Osceola County School Board member with the largest self-funded war chest, benefits from name recognition in a redrawn district targeting incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. The crowded eight-candidate race features limited name identification and emphasizes local issues such as inflation and federal spending.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBen Butler 51.4%
Thomas Chalifoux 30%
Dan Green 12%
Jorge Martinez 4.7%
$65,650 ปริมาณ
$65,650 ปริมาณ
Ben Butler
51%
Thomas Chalifoux
30%
Dan Green
12%
Jorge Martinez
5%
Justin Story
<1%
Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Malavet
<1%
Marcus Carter
<1%
Steve Rance
<1%
Ben Butler 51.4%
Thomas Chalifoux 30%
Dan Green 12%
Jorge Martinez 4.7%
$65,650 ปริมาณ
$65,650 ปริมาณ
Ben Butler
51%
Thomas Chalifoux
30%
Dan Green
12%
Jorge Martinez
5%
Justin Story
<1%
Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Malavet
<1%
Marcus Carter
<1%
Steve Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ben Butler leads the FL-09 Republican primary field with a 51.4% implied probability, ahead of Thomas Chalifoux at 30%, as traders weigh recent polling and endorsements ahead of the August 18 vote. A Victory Insights survey from early August showed the top four candidates—Butler, Chalifoux, Jorge Martinez, and Dan Green—statistically tied within the margin of error amid high undecided voters. Butler, an Okeechobee rancher and South Florida Water Management District member, has secured key agricultural endorsements and support from Florida congressional Republicans including Anna Paulina Luna, Kat Cammack, and Greg Steube. Chalifoux, the 2024 nominee and former Osceola County School Board member with the largest self-funded war chest, benefits from name recognition in a redrawn district targeting incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. The crowded eight-candidate race features limited name identification and emphasizes local issues such as inflation and federal spending.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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