Marcus Carter holds the trader consensus lead at 51% implied probability in the crowded FL-09 Republican primary, buoyed by his early frontrunner positioning and grassroots momentum in the newly redrawn district targeting Democratic incumbent Darren Soto. Thomas Chalifoux surged to 32% after self-funding $3 million into his campaign two days ago, bolstering his war chest for the August 18 contest. Justin Story climbed to 24.5% following qualification via petitions this week, highlighting his fighter pilot background. Governor DeSantis' late-April redistricting map favoring Republicans has energized the five-candidate field, though no polls or debates have emerged to shift dynamics further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วThomas Chalifoux 26%
Justin Story 11%
Jorge Malavet 8%
Howard Steven Rance 5.4%
$18,931 ปริมาณ
$18,931 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
Thomas Chalifoux
26%
Justin Story
25%
Jorge Malavet
8%
Howard Steven Rance
5%
Marcus Carter
39%
Thomas Chalifoux 26%
Justin Story 11%
Jorge Malavet 8%
Howard Steven Rance 5.4%
$18,931 ปริมาณ
$18,931 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
Thomas Chalifoux
$918 ปริมาณ
26%
Justin Story
$7,621 ปริมาณ
25%
Jorge Malavet
$2,193 ปริมาณ
8%
Howard Steven Rance
$7,756 ปริมาณ
5%
Marcus Carter
$445 ปริมาณ
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marcus Carter holds the trader consensus lead at 51% implied probability in the crowded FL-09 Republican primary, buoyed by his early frontrunner positioning and grassroots momentum in the newly redrawn district targeting Democratic incumbent Darren Soto. Thomas Chalifoux surged to 32% after self-funding $3 million into his campaign two days ago, bolstering his war chest for the August 18 contest. Justin Story climbed to 24.5% following qualification via petitions this week, highlighting his fighter pilot background. Governor DeSantis' late-April redistricting map favoring Republicans has energized the five-candidate field, though no polls or debates have emerged to shift dynamics further.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,931วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marcus Carter holds the trader consensus lead at 51% implied probability in the crowded FL-09 Republican primary, buoyed by his early frontrunner positioning and grassroots momentum in the newly redrawn district targeting Democratic incumbent Darren Soto. Thomas Chalifoux surged to 32% after self-funding $3 million into his campaign two days ago, bolstering his war chest for the August 18 contest. Justin Story climbed to 24.5% following qualification via petitions this week, highlighting his fighter pilot background. Governor DeSantis' late-April redistricting map favoring Republicans has energized the five-candidate field, though no polls or debates have emerged to shift dynamics further.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,931วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Marcus Carter holds the trader consensus lead at 51% implied probability in the crowded FL-09 Republican primary, buoyed by his early frontrunner positioning and grassroots momentum in the newly redrawn district targeting Democratic incumbent Darren Soto. Thomas Chalifoux surged to 32% after self-funding $3 million into his campaign two days ago, bolstering his war chest for the August 18 contest. Justin Story climbed to 24.5% following qualification via petitions this week, highlighting his fighter pilot background. Governor DeSantis' late-April redistricting map favoring Republicans has energized the five-candidate field, though no polls or debates have emerged to shift dynamics further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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