Florida's 9th congressional district Republican primary on August 18 features a crowded field after spring redistricting shifted the seat toward Republican-leaning territory, positioning the winner as the likely general election favorite against Democrat Darren Soto. Ben Butler leads trader consensus with strong local ties as a ninth-generation Florida farmer and cattle rancher, plus sheriff endorsements and steady fundraising. Thomas Chalifoux follows with prior 2024 general election experience against Soto, military background, and substantial self-funding, though his support appears more limited in the current primary matchup. Lower-probability candidates such as Dan Green and Jorge Martinez trail amid fragmented support in the short campaign window, with recent polling showing a close contest among frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBen Butler 48.4%
Thomas Chalifoux 26%
Dan Green 8%
Jorge Martinez 5.0%
$70,973 ปริมาณ
$70,973 ปริมาณ
Ben Butler
48%
Thomas Chalifoux
26%
Dan Green
8%
Jorge Martinez
5%
Justin Story
<1%
Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Malavet
<1%
Marcus Carter
<1%
Steve Rance
<1%
Ben Butler 48.4%
Thomas Chalifoux 26%
Dan Green 8%
Jorge Martinez 5.0%
$70,973 ปริมาณ
$70,973 ปริมาณ
Ben Butler
48%
Thomas Chalifoux
26%
Dan Green
8%
Jorge Martinez
5%
Justin Story
<1%
Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Malavet
<1%
Marcus Carter
<1%
Steve Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district Republican primary on August 18 features a crowded field after spring redistricting shifted the seat toward Republican-leaning territory, positioning the winner as the likely general election favorite against Democrat Darren Soto. Ben Butler leads trader consensus with strong local ties as a ninth-generation Florida farmer and cattle rancher, plus sheriff endorsements and steady fundraising. Thomas Chalifoux follows with prior 2024 general election experience against Soto, military background, and substantial self-funding, though his support appears more limited in the current primary matchup. Lower-probability candidates such as Dan Green and Jorge Martinez trail amid fragmented support in the short campaign window, with recent polling showing a close contest among frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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