Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 12th congressional district in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating challenger Tori Branum outright, avoiding any runoff under state rules that advance the top two finishers only if no candidate reaches a majority. The solidly Republican district (Cook Political Report rating Solid R, PVI R+7) features an entrenched incumbent with minimal intra-party competition, while the Democratic side required a June 16 runoff between Ceretta Smith and Traci George. These primary dynamics, combined with the absence of late-filed or high-profile challengers that could fragment the vote, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for an outright first-round winner. No major developments since the June runoff have altered expectations for the November general election matchup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว95% โอกาส
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Nov 3, 2026
95% โอกาส
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Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 12th congressional district in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating challenger Tori Branum outright, avoiding any runoff under state rules that advance the top two finishers only if no candidate reaches a majority. The solidly Republican district (Cook Political Report rating Solid R, PVI R+7) features an entrenched incumbent with minimal intra-party competition, while the Democratic side required a June 16 runoff between Ceretta Smith and Traci George. These primary dynamics, combined with the absence of late-filed or high-profile challengers that could fragment the vote, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for an outright first-round winner. No major developments since the June runoff have altered expectations for the November general election matchup.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$257วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 12th congressional district in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating challenger Tori Branum outright, avoiding any runoff under state rules that advance the top two finishers only if no candidate reaches a majority. The solidly Republican district (Cook Political Report rating Solid R, PVI R+7) features an entrenched incumbent with minimal intra-party competition, while the Democratic side required a June 16 runoff between Ceretta Smith and Traci George. These primary dynamics, combined with the absence of late-filed or high-profile challengers that could fragment the vote, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for an outright first-round winner. No major developments since the June runoff have altered expectations for the November general election matchup.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$257วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 12th congressional district in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating challenger Tori Branum outright, avoiding any runoff under state rules that advance the top two finishers only if no candidate reaches a majority. The solidly Republican district (Cook Political Report rating Solid R, PVI R+7) features an entrenched incumbent with minimal intra-party competition, while the Democratic side required a June 16 runoff between Ceretta Smith and Traci George. These primary dynamics, combined with the absence of late-filed or high-profile challengers that could fragment the vote, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for an outright first-round winner. No major developments since the June runoff have altered expectations for the November general election matchup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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