Several 2026 Senate contests appear positioned for narrow margins due to open seats from retirements including Thom Tillis in North Carolina, Gary Peters in Michigan, and Joni Ernst in Iowa, combined with strong challengers such as former Governor Roy Cooper. Recent polling aggregates show races in Maine, Michigan, Georgia, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa within or near single digits, reflecting a national environment where Democrats hold a generic ballot edge amid voter concerns over prices and foreign policy. Republican-held seats in these states face pressure from the broader midterm dynamics, while Democratic-held battlegrounds like Michigan and Georgia remain closely watched for turnout and candidate positioning. The November 3 election date leaves limited time for late shifts in these battlegrounds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$62,628 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
84%
Kansas
73%
Alaska
68%
Michigan
62%
Iowa
62%
Ohio (Special)
56%
Maine
55%
New Hampshire
61%
Nebraska
48%
South Carolina
40%
Georgia
27%
Florida (Special)
25%
Minnesota
21%
North Carolina
13%
New Mexico
12%
Montana
8%
Colorado
4%
Virginia
4%
$62,628 ปริมาณ
Texas
$7,129 ปริมาณ
84%
Kansas
$556 ปริมาณ
73%
Alaska
$2,789 ปริมาณ
68%
Michigan
$2,735 ปริมาณ
62%
Iowa
$5,645 ปริมาณ
62%
Ohio (Special)
$3,936 ปริมาณ
56%
Maine
$1,020 ปริมาณ
55%
New Hampshire
$2,352 ปริมาณ
61%
Nebraska
$3,687 ปริมาณ
48%
South Carolina
$109 ปริมาณ
40%
Georgia
$1,394 ปริมาณ
27%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 ปริมาณ
25%
Minnesota
$9,715 ปริมาณ
21%
North Carolina
$5,584 ปริมาณ
13%
New Mexico
$6,665 ปริมาณ
12%
Montana
$2,919 ปริมาณ
8%
Colorado
$2,599 ปริมาณ
4%
Virginia
$1,344 ปริมาณ
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests appear positioned for narrow margins due to open seats from retirements including Thom Tillis in North Carolina, Gary Peters in Michigan, and Joni Ernst in Iowa, combined with strong challengers such as former Governor Roy Cooper. Recent polling aggregates show races in Maine, Michigan, Georgia, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa within or near single digits, reflecting a national environment where Democrats hold a generic ballot edge amid voter concerns over prices and foreign policy. Republican-held seats in these states face pressure from the broader midterm dynamics, while Democratic-held battlegrounds like Michigan and Georgia remain closely watched for turnout and candidate positioning. The November 3 election date leaves limited time for late shifts in these battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,628วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests appear positioned for narrow margins due to open seats from retirements including Thom Tillis in North Carolina, Gary Peters in Michigan, and Joni Ernst in Iowa, combined with strong challengers such as former Governor Roy Cooper. Recent polling aggregates show races in Maine, Michigan, Georgia, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa within or near single digits, reflecting a national environment where Democrats hold a generic ballot edge amid voter concerns over prices and foreign policy. Republican-held seats in these states face pressure from the broader midterm dynamics, while Democratic-held battlegrounds like Michigan and Georgia remain closely watched for turnout and candidate positioning. The November 3 election date leaves limited time for late shifts in these battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,628วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests appear positioned for narrow margins due to open seats from retirements including Thom Tillis in North Carolina, Gary Peters in Michigan, and Joni Ernst in Iowa, combined with strong challengers such as former Governor Roy Cooper. Recent polling aggregates show races in Maine, Michigan, Georgia, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, and Iowa within or near single digits, reflecting a national environment where Democrats hold a generic ballot edge amid voter concerns over prices and foreign policy. Republican-held seats in these states face pressure from the broader midterm dynamics, while Democratic-held battlegrounds like Michigan and Georgia remain closely watched for turnout and candidate positioning. The November 3 election date leaves limited time for late shifts in these battlegrounds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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