Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has left open both a 2028 Senate bid against Chuck Schumer and a presidential campaign, with her most recent New York Times interview and fundraising notes indicating a decision after the 2026 midterms based on where she can have the greatest impact. Recent upstate New York appearances and voter outreach have fueled speculation of groundwork for a statewide Senate run, aligning with trader consensus favoring that path at 56 percent over a White House bid at 38 percent. Early polling mentions in Democratic primary surveys and her national profile keep presidential odds viable, while the negligible 3.1 percent on neither reflects broad expectations she will pursue one of the two offices before 2028. Schumer has not confirmed his own plans, adding uncertainty to the Senate timeline.
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