Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his 2024 defeat of challenger Cori Bush and strong incumbency advantages in this safely Democratic St. Louis-based seat. Recent April fundraising reports reveal Bell holding roughly 10 times more cash on hand than Bush, bolstering his campaign infrastructure amid a rematch defined by ideological contrasts—Bell's pragmatic record on housing, education, and healthcare bills versus Bush's progressive activism. A February Bush-commissioned poll released mid-April showed a 44%-40% Bell edge among likely primary voters (17% undecided, ±5.4% MoE), but traders appear skeptical of the internal survey; an early May candidate forum saw Bush attend in person while Bell sent a surrogate, with no debates yet scheduled. Undecideds and turnout among key voting blocs could tip this contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
$10,436 ปริมาณ
$10,436 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
67%
Cori Bush
33%
$10,436 ปริมาณ
$10,436 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
$5,647 ปริมาณ
67%
Cori Bush
$4,788 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his 2024 defeat of challenger Cori Bush and strong incumbency advantages in this safely Democratic St. Louis-based seat. Recent April fundraising reports reveal Bell holding roughly 10 times more cash on hand than Bush, bolstering his campaign infrastructure amid a rematch defined by ideological contrasts—Bell's pragmatic record on housing, education, and healthcare bills versus Bush's progressive activism. A February Bush-commissioned poll released mid-April showed a 44%-40% Bell edge among likely primary voters (17% undecided, ±5.4% MoE), but traders appear skeptical of the internal survey; an early May candidate forum saw Bush attend in person while Bell sent a surrogate, with no debates yet scheduled. Undecideds and turnout among key voting blocs could tip this contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,436วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his 2024 defeat of challenger Cori Bush and strong incumbency advantages in this safely Democratic St. Louis-based seat. Recent April fundraising reports reveal Bell holding roughly 10 times more cash on hand than Bush, bolstering his campaign infrastructure amid a rematch defined by ideological contrasts—Bell's pragmatic record on housing, education, and healthcare bills versus Bush's progressive activism. A February Bush-commissioned poll released mid-April showed a 44%-40% Bell edge among likely primary voters (17% undecided, ±5.4% MoE), but traders appear skeptical of the internal survey; an early May candidate forum saw Bush attend in person while Bell sent a surrogate, with no debates yet scheduled. Undecideds and turnout among key voting blocs could tip this contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,436วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his 2024 defeat of challenger Cori Bush and strong incumbency advantages in this safely Democratic St. Louis-based seat. Recent April fundraising reports reveal Bell holding roughly 10 times more cash on hand than Bush, bolstering his campaign infrastructure amid a rematch defined by ideological contrasts—Bell's pragmatic record on housing, education, and healthcare bills versus Bush's progressive activism. A February Bush-commissioned poll released mid-April showed a 44%-40% Bell edge among likely primary voters (17% undecided, ±5.4% MoE), but traders appear skeptical of the internal survey; an early May candidate forum saw Bush attend in person while Bell sent a surrogate, with no debates yet scheduled. Undecideds and turnout among key voting blocs could tip this contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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