Traders assign a 98.6% probability that Donald Trump will remain in office through June 30, reflecting the lack of active removal proceedings in Congress or triggers for the 25th Amendment. Republican majorities in both chambers following the 2024 elections set a high bar for impeachment and conviction, with no recent votes, investigations, or bipartisan consensus indicating otherwise. Historical precedent shows early-term ousters are uncommon absent overwhelming evidence of misconduct or incapacity. While scheduled events like upcoming legislative sessions could introduce volatility, no such catalysts appear imminent, leaving the current consensus anchored in stable institutional dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วทรัมป์ออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน?
ทรัมป์ออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน?
ใช่
$5,262,535 ปริมาณ
$5,262,535 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
ใช่
$5,262,535 ปริมาณ
$5,262,535 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 98.6% probability that Donald Trump will remain in office through June 30, reflecting the lack of active removal proceedings in Congress or triggers for the 25th Amendment. Republican majorities in both chambers following the 2024 elections set a high bar for impeachment and conviction, with no recent votes, investigations, or bipartisan consensus indicating otherwise. Historical precedent shows early-term ousters are uncommon absent overwhelming evidence of misconduct or incapacity. While scheduled events like upcoming legislative sessions could introduce volatility, no such catalysts appear imminent, leaving the current consensus anchored in stable institutional dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,262,535วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 98.6% probability that Donald Trump will remain in office through June 30, reflecting the lack of active removal proceedings in Congress or triggers for the 25th Amendment. Republican majorities in both chambers following the 2024 elections set a high bar for impeachment and conviction, with no recent votes, investigations, or bipartisan consensus indicating otherwise. Historical precedent shows early-term ousters are uncommon absent overwhelming evidence of misconduct or incapacity. While scheduled events like upcoming legislative sessions could introduce volatility, no such catalysts appear imminent, leaving the current consensus anchored in stable institutional dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,262,535วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.6% probability that Donald Trump will remain in office through June 30, reflecting the lack of active removal proceedings in Congress or triggers for the 25th Amendment. Republican majorities in both chambers following the 2024 elections set a high bar for impeachment and conviction, with no recent votes, investigations, or bipartisan consensus indicating otherwise. Historical precedent shows early-term ousters are uncommon absent overwhelming evidence of misconduct or incapacity. While scheduled events like upcoming legislative sessions could introduce volatility, no such catalysts appear imminent, leaving the current consensus anchored in stable institutional dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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