Rep. Julia Letlow leads Polymarket trader consensus at 82% implied probability for Louisiana's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by President Trump's recent endorsement and her surge in late polls like Quantus Insights (40% on May 6-7), where undecided Trump-aligned voters consolidated behind her amid backlash against incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy's 2021 vote to convict Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming holds second at 15.6% with strong conservative support, while Cassidy trails at 2.5% due to persistent primary challenges testing GOP loyalty. Early voting concluded May 9, positioning the race as a litmus test of Trump's influence in this deep-red state, with a potential June runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJulia Letlow 82%
John Fleming 16.4%
Bill Cassidy 2.4%
Julie Emerson <1%
$279,363 ปริมาณ
$279,363 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
Julia Letlow
82%
John Fleming
16%
Bill Cassidy
2%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Julia Letlow 82%
John Fleming 16.4%
Bill Cassidy 2.4%
Julie Emerson <1%
$279,363 ปริมาณ
$279,363 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
Julia Letlow
$31,070 ปริมาณ
82%
John Fleming
$44,464 ปริมาณ
16%
Bill Cassidy
$42,338 ปริมาณ
2%
Julie Emerson
$37,342 ปริมาณ
<1%
Blake Miguez
$24,964 ปริมาณ
<1%
Kathy Seiden
$11,888 ปริมาณ
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
$15,997 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
$12,205 ปริมาณ
<1%
Randall Arrington
$18,702 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tracy Dendy
$20,095 ปริมาณ
<1%
Chris Holder
$9,207 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xan John
$11,091 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Julia Letlow leads Polymarket trader consensus at 82% implied probability for Louisiana's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by President Trump's recent endorsement and her surge in late polls like Quantus Insights (40% on May 6-7), where undecided Trump-aligned voters consolidated behind her amid backlash against incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy's 2021 vote to convict Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming holds second at 15.6% with strong conservative support, while Cassidy trails at 2.5% due to persistent primary challenges testing GOP loyalty. Early voting concluded May 9, positioning the race as a litmus test of Trump's influence in this deep-red state, with a potential June runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$279,363วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Julia Letlow leads Polymarket trader consensus at 82% implied probability for Louisiana's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by President Trump's recent endorsement and her surge in late polls like Quantus Insights (40% on May 6-7), where undecided Trump-aligned voters consolidated behind her amid backlash against incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy's 2021 vote to convict Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming holds second at 15.6% with strong conservative support, while Cassidy trails at 2.5% due to persistent primary challenges testing GOP loyalty. Early voting concluded May 9, positioning the race as a litmus test of Trump's influence in this deep-red state, with a potential June runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$279,363วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Julia Letlow leads Polymarket trader consensus at 82% implied probability for Louisiana's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by President Trump's recent endorsement and her surge in late polls like Quantus Insights (40% on May 6-7), where undecided Trump-aligned voters consolidated behind her amid backlash against incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy's 2021 vote to convict Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming holds second at 15.6% with strong conservative support, while Cassidy trails at 2.5% due to persistent primary challenges testing GOP loyalty. Early voting concluded May 9, positioning the race as a litmus test of Trump's influence in this deep-red state, with a potential June runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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