U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson commands trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win South Dakota's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his widening lead in the April 20 South Dakota News Watch poll, where he approached the 35% threshold needed to avoid a runoff against fragmented challengers. Incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, who ascended after Kristi Noem's federal appointment, struggles at 4.2% amid doubts over his short tenure and limited incumbency advantage. Businessman Toby Doeden's 16% share reflects outsider appeal bolstered by recent anti-establishment ads targeting Johnson's congressional record, while House Speaker Jon Hansen trails at 5.3% despite legislative profile. With early voting underway and no new polls, Johnson's fundraising edge and debate performances sustain frontrunner momentum ahead of election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDusty Johnson 71%
Toby Doeden 19%
Jon Hansen 5.3%
Larry Rhoden 4.1%
$57,837 ปริมาณ
$57,837 ปริมาณ
Dusty Johnson
71%
Toby Doeden
17%
Jon Hansen
5%
Larry Rhoden
4%
Dusty Johnson 71%
Toby Doeden 19%
Jon Hansen 5.3%
Larry Rhoden 4.1%
$57,837 ปริมาณ
$57,837 ปริมาณ
Dusty Johnson
71%
Toby Doeden
17%
Jon Hansen
5%
Larry Rhoden
4%
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson commands trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win South Dakota's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his widening lead in the April 20 South Dakota News Watch poll, where he approached the 35% threshold needed to avoid a runoff against fragmented challengers. Incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, who ascended after Kristi Noem's federal appointment, struggles at 4.2% amid doubts over his short tenure and limited incumbency advantage. Businessman Toby Doeden's 16% share reflects outsider appeal bolstered by recent anti-establishment ads targeting Johnson's congressional record, while House Speaker Jon Hansen trails at 5.3% despite legislative profile. With early voting underway and no new polls, Johnson's fundraising edge and debate performances sustain frontrunner momentum ahead of election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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