Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra commands trader consensus for first place in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, with 47% implied probability driven by his post-April polling surge after Rep. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations, consolidating Democratic support as shown in the latest Emerson College poll (May 9-10) placing him at 20% among likely voters. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 24.5% odds buoyed by self-funding dominance and Sierra Club endorsement, while Republican Steve Hilton's 22.5% reflects GOP enthusiasm and prior poll leads despite the state's Democratic tilt. High undecideds (15-25%), final debate attacks on Becerra, and mail ballot rollout keep the closely contested field volatile ahead of early voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วXavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 3.1%
$27,901 ปริมาณ
$27,901 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Xavier Becerra
47%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Derek Grasty
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Elaine Culotti
1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Nicki Minaj
<1%
Xavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 3.1%
$27,901 ปริมาณ
$27,901 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Xavier Becerra
$7,632 ปริมาณ
47%
Tom Steyer
$4,763 ปริมาณ
25%
Steve Hilton
$3,637 ปริมาณ
23%
Chad Bianco
$1,124 ปริมาณ
3%
Matt Mahan
$1,835 ปริมาณ
2%
Katie Porter
$1,177 ปริมาณ
2%
Derek Grasty
$761 ปริมาณ
2%
Raji Rab
$682 ปริมาณ
1%
Daniel Mercuri
$640 ปริมาณ
1%
Elaine Culotti
$551 ปริมาณ
1%
Thunder Parley
$505 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tony Thurmond
$629 ปริมาณ
<1%
Betty Yee
$658 ปริมาณ
<1%
Carolina Buhler
$615 ปริมาณ
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$605 ปริมาณ
<1%
Leo Zacky
$682 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
$666 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nicki Minaj
$738 ปริมาณ
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra commands trader consensus for first place in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, with 47% implied probability driven by his post-April polling surge after Rep. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations, consolidating Democratic support as shown in the latest Emerson College poll (May 9-10) placing him at 20% among likely voters. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 24.5% odds buoyed by self-funding dominance and Sierra Club endorsement, while Republican Steve Hilton's 22.5% reflects GOP enthusiasm and prior poll leads despite the state's Democratic tilt. High undecideds (15-25%), final debate attacks on Becerra, and mail ballot rollout keep the closely contested field volatile ahead of early voting.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,901วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra commands trader consensus for first place in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, with 47% implied probability driven by his post-April polling surge after Rep. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations, consolidating Democratic support as shown in the latest Emerson College poll (May 9-10) placing him at 20% among likely voters. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 24.5% odds buoyed by self-funding dominance and Sierra Club endorsement, while Republican Steve Hilton's 22.5% reflects GOP enthusiasm and prior poll leads despite the state's Democratic tilt. High undecideds (15-25%), final debate attacks on Becerra, and mail ballot rollout keep the closely contested field volatile ahead of early voting.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,901วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra commands trader consensus for first place in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, with 47% implied probability driven by his post-April polling surge after Rep. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations, consolidating Democratic support as shown in the latest Emerson College poll (May 9-10) placing him at 20% among likely voters. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 24.5% odds buoyed by self-funding dominance and Sierra Club endorsement, while Republican Steve Hilton's 22.5% reflects GOP enthusiasm and prior poll leads despite the state's Democratic tilt. High undecideds (15-25%), final debate attacks on Becerra, and mail ballot rollout keep the closely contested field volatile ahead of early voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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