In Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid, trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard at 57.5% implied probability, driven by a May 13 poll showing his 39.2% plurality lead among GOP voters with strong favorables, alongside robust April fundraising exceeding $425,000 and key endorsements. Robert Lulgjuraj trails at 38.3% following ballot eligibility challenges filed against him last week by rival Justin Kirk and a pro-Bouchard PAC, potentially disrupting his early fundraising edge. Remaining candidates like Steven Elliott linger below 13%, reflecting limited traction amid high undecideds ahead of the August 4 primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMike Bouchard 56%
Robert Lulgjuraj 14.2%
Steven Elliott 10.1%
Casey Armitage 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
Mike Bouchard
59%
Robert Lulgjuraj
28%
Steven Elliott
26%
Casey Armitage
7%
Justin Kirk
5%
Mike Bouchard 56%
Robert Lulgjuraj 14.2%
Steven Elliott 10.1%
Casey Armitage 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
Mike Bouchard
$2,122 ปริมาณ
59%
Robert Lulgjuraj
$2,116 ปริมาณ
28%
Steven Elliott
$1,799 ปริมาณ
26%
Casey Armitage
$2,338 ปริมาณ
7%
Justin Kirk
$847 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid, trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard at 57.5% implied probability, driven by a May 13 poll showing his 39.2% plurality lead among GOP voters with strong favorables, alongside robust April fundraising exceeding $425,000 and key endorsements. Robert Lulgjuraj trails at 38.3% following ballot eligibility challenges filed against him last week by rival Justin Kirk and a pro-Bouchard PAC, potentially disrupting his early fundraising edge. Remaining candidates like Steven Elliott linger below 13%, reflecting limited traction amid high undecideds ahead of the August 4 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,222วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid, trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard at 57.5% implied probability, driven by a May 13 poll showing his 39.2% plurality lead among GOP voters with strong favorables, alongside robust April fundraising exceeding $425,000 and key endorsements. Robert Lulgjuraj trails at 38.3% following ballot eligibility challenges filed against him last week by rival Justin Kirk and a pro-Bouchard PAC, potentially disrupting his early fundraising edge. Remaining candidates like Steven Elliott linger below 13%, reflecting limited traction amid high undecideds ahead of the August 4 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,222วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Michigan's 10th Congressional District Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid, trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard at 57.5% implied probability, driven by a May 13 poll showing his 39.2% plurality lead among GOP voters with strong favorables, alongside robust April fundraising exceeding $425,000 and key endorsements. Robert Lulgjuraj trails at 38.3% following ballot eligibility challenges filed against him last week by rival Justin Kirk and a pro-Bouchard PAC, potentially disrupting his early fundraising edge. Remaining candidates like Steven Elliott linger below 13%, reflecting limited traction amid high undecideds ahead of the August 4 primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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