The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff features Collins leading recent polls by 9–16 points after his 40.5% to 30.2% primary finish, which keeps trader-implied probabilities clustered across Collins margin buckets while holding Dooley’s outright win odds at 15%. Collins’ positioning as a MAGA-aligned incumbent congressman contrasts with Dooley’s support from Gov. Brian Kemp and outsider profile as a former football coach, amid no Trump endorsement and standard runoff turnout dynamics among Georgia Republican voters. Late campaign events and voter mobilization in the final days could still shift the victory margin within the closely contested field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGeorgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Collins <5% 45%
Collins 5–10% 40%
Collins 20–25% 39%
Collins 25%+ 38%
$50 ปริมาณ
$50 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
Dooley Wins
15%
Collins <5%
45%
Collins 5–10%
40%
Collins 10–15%
30%
Collins 15–20%
38%
Collins 20–25%
39%
Collins 25%+
38%
Collins <5% 45%
Collins 5–10% 40%
Collins 20–25% 39%
Collins 25%+ 38%
$50 ปริมาณ
$50 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
Dooley Wins
$15 ปริมาณ
15%
Collins <5%
$5 ปริมาณ
45%
Collins 5–10%
$10 ปริมาณ
40%
Collins 10–15%
$5 ปริมาณ
30%
Collins 15–20%
$5 ปริมาณ
38%
Collins 20–25%
$5 ปริมาณ
39%
Collins 25%+
$5 ปริมาณ
38%
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff features Collins leading recent polls by 9–16 points after his 40.5% to 30.2% primary finish, which keeps trader-implied probabilities clustered across Collins margin buckets while holding Dooley’s outright win odds at 15%. Collins’ positioning as a MAGA-aligned incumbent congressman contrasts with Dooley’s support from Gov. Brian Kemp and outsider profile as a former football coach, amid no Trump endorsement and standard runoff turnout dynamics among Georgia Republican voters. Late campaign events and voter mobilization in the final days could still shift the victory margin within the closely contested field.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff features Collins leading recent polls by 9–16 points after his 40.5% to 30.2% primary finish, which keeps trader-implied probabilities clustered across Collins margin buckets while holding Dooley’s outright win odds at 15%. Collins’ positioning as a MAGA-aligned incumbent congressman contrasts with Dooley’s support from Gov. Brian Kemp and outsider profile as a former football coach, amid no Trump endorsement and standard runoff turnout dynamics among Georgia Republican voters. Late campaign events and voter mobilization in the final days could still shift the victory margin within the closely contested field.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff features Collins leading recent polls by 9–16 points after his 40.5% to 30.2% primary finish, which keeps trader-implied probabilities clustered across Collins margin buckets while holding Dooley’s outright win odds at 15%. Collins’ positioning as a MAGA-aligned incumbent congressman contrasts with Dooley’s support from Gov. Brian Kemp and outsider profile as a former football coach, amid no Trump endorsement and standard runoff turnout dynamics among Georgia Republican voters. Late campaign events and voter mobilization in the final days could still shift the victory margin within the closely contested field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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