The razor-thin margin in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez has driven trader consensus toward a sub-4 percent victory for either candidate. Early urban tallies favored Fujimori, but subsequent rural and Andean precincts have narrowed the gap to under 0.2 points with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted, sustaining heavy positioning in the narrowest brackets. Persistent polarization over security, crime, and economic policy, combined with a fragmented first-round field, has produced this statistical tie and prolonged count. Remaining overseas votes, contested ballots, and potential recounts through July could still shift the final certified margin within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Fujimori 0–4% 93.0%
Sánchez 0–4% 6.3%
Fujimori 4–8% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
$956,608 ปริมาณ
$956,608 ปริมาณ
Jun 7, 2026
Fujimori 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
93%
Sánchez 0–4%
6%
Sánchez 4–8%
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 0–4% 93.0%
Sánchez 0–4% 6.3%
Fujimori 4–8% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
$956,608 ปริมาณ
$956,608 ปริมาณ
Jun 7, 2026
Fujimori 12%+
$65,110 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
$48,699 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
$142,563 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
$275,912 ปริมาณ
93%
Sánchez 0–4%
$272,238 ปริมาณ
6%
Sánchez 4–8%
$83,056 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
$38,069 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
$30,961 ปริมาณ
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin margin in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez has driven trader consensus toward a sub-4 percent victory for either candidate. Early urban tallies favored Fujimori, but subsequent rural and Andean precincts have narrowed the gap to under 0.2 points with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted, sustaining heavy positioning in the narrowest brackets. Persistent polarization over security, crime, and economic policy, combined with a fragmented first-round field, has produced this statistical tie and prolonged count. Remaining overseas votes, contested ballots, and potential recounts through July could still shift the final certified margin within the resolution window.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$956,608วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin margin in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez has driven trader consensus toward a sub-4 percent victory for either candidate. Early urban tallies favored Fujimori, but subsequent rural and Andean precincts have narrowed the gap to under 0.2 points with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted, sustaining heavy positioning in the narrowest brackets. Persistent polarization over security, crime, and economic policy, combined with a fragmented first-round field, has produced this statistical tie and prolonged count. Remaining overseas votes, contested ballots, and potential recounts through July could still shift the final certified margin within the resolution window.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$956,608วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The razor-thin margin in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez has driven trader consensus toward a sub-4 percent victory for either candidate. Early urban tallies favored Fujimori, but subsequent rural and Andean precincts have narrowed the gap to under 0.2 points with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted, sustaining heavy positioning in the narrowest brackets. Persistent polarization over security, crime, and economic policy, combined with a fragmented first-round field, has produced this statistical tie and prolonged count. Remaining overseas votes, contested ballots, and potential recounts through July could still shift the final certified margin within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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