The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 features Labour’s Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner in a contest triggered by the resignation of the sitting Labour MP. Recent constituency polls place Burnham on 46-49% and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon on 37-41%, with all other candidates—including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain—below 8%. Reform’s strong performance in the 2024 general election and recent local contests across the constituency’s wards has established Kenyon as the principal challenger. This positioning under first-past-the-post rules leaves little room for any other candidate to overtake him for second place. Trader consensus on the 2nd-place market therefore reflects Kenyon’s consistent polling lead over the rest of the field and the absence of late developments that would elevate a minor-party contender.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRobert Kenyon 79%
Andy Burnham 16.9%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.3%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$115,496 ปริมาณ
$115,496 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
79%
Andy Burnham
17%
Rebecca Shepherd
4%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 79%
Andy Burnham 16.9%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.3%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$115,496 ปริมาณ
$115,496 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
$5,293 ปริมาณ
79%
Andy Burnham
$3,990 ปริมาณ
17%
Rebecca Shepherd
$101,680 ปริมาณ
4%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,374 ปริมาณ
<1%
John Skipworth
$1,215 ปริมาณ
<1%
Maria Deery
$788 ปริมาณ
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,158 ปริมาณ
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 features Labour’s Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner in a contest triggered by the resignation of the sitting Labour MP. Recent constituency polls place Burnham on 46-49% and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon on 37-41%, with all other candidates—including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain—below 8%. Reform’s strong performance in the 2024 general election and recent local contests across the constituency’s wards has established Kenyon as the principal challenger. This positioning under first-past-the-post rules leaves little room for any other candidate to overtake him for second place. Trader consensus on the 2nd-place market therefore reflects Kenyon’s consistent polling lead over the rest of the field and the absence of late developments that would elevate a minor-party contender.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$115,496วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 features Labour’s Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner in a contest triggered by the resignation of the sitting Labour MP. Recent constituency polls place Burnham on 46-49% and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon on 37-41%, with all other candidates—including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain—below 8%. Reform’s strong performance in the 2024 general election and recent local contests across the constituency’s wards has established Kenyon as the principal challenger. This positioning under first-past-the-post rules leaves little room for any other candidate to overtake him for second place. Trader consensus on the 2nd-place market therefore reflects Kenyon’s consistent polling lead over the rest of the field and the absence of late developments that would elevate a minor-party contender.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$115,496วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 features Labour’s Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner in a contest triggered by the resignation of the sitting Labour MP. Recent constituency polls place Burnham on 46-49% and Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon on 37-41%, with all other candidates—including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain—below 8%. Reform’s strong performance in the 2024 general election and recent local contests across the constituency’s wards has established Kenyon as the principal challenger. This positioning under first-past-the-post rules leaves little room for any other candidate to overtake him for second place. Trader consensus on the 2nd-place market therefore reflects Kenyon’s consistent polling lead over the rest of the field and the absence of late developments that would elevate a minor-party contender.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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