Recent UK CPI data showed annual inflation easing to 2.6% in June 2026, yet Bank of England projections highlight an expected pickup later in the year to around 3.2% by Q4 amid higher energy costs and indirect effects from Middle East tensions. Trader sentiment remains closely divided, with the 2.5–2.9% band edging the 4.0–4.4% range, reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of energy-driven price pressures, labor market slack limiting second-round wage effects, and volatile global commodity trends. Monetary policy held steady at 3.75%, with market-implied odds balancing the risk of temporary upside surprises against base effects and subdued demand. Key catalysts ahead include August CPI releases and the September MPC meeting, which could clarify whether 2026 averages settle near target or exceed 3.5%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 21%
3.5–3.9% 13.4%
2.0–2.4% 8.2%
$53,959 ปริมาณ
$53,959 ปริมาณ
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
8%
2.5–2.9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
13%
4.0-4.4%
21%
4.5%+
8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 21%
3.5–3.9% 13.4%
2.0–2.4% 8.2%
$53,959 ปริมาณ
$53,959 ปริมาณ
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
8%
2.5–2.9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
13%
4.0-4.4%
21%
4.5%+
8%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK CPI data showed annual inflation easing to 2.6% in June 2026, yet Bank of England projections highlight an expected pickup later in the year to around 3.2% by Q4 amid higher energy costs and indirect effects from Middle East tensions. Trader sentiment remains closely divided, with the 2.5–2.9% band edging the 4.0–4.4% range, reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of energy-driven price pressures, labor market slack limiting second-round wage effects, and volatile global commodity trends. Monetary policy held steady at 3.75%, with market-implied odds balancing the risk of temporary upside surprises against base effects and subdued demand. Key catalysts ahead include August CPI releases and the September MPC meeting, which could clarify whether 2026 averages settle near target or exceed 3.5%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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