Recent UK CPI data showed easing to 2.6% in June 2026, the lowest since March 2025, supported by moderating food and transport components. However, the February onset of US-Iran conflict drove sustained energy price increases that the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects will lift CPI to 3.2% by October-November before gradual moderation, keeping the 2026 annual average well above the 2% target. These dynamics create closely matched implied probabilities between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% ranges, reflecting trader assessment of whether indirect effects and wage pressures will push outcomes higher or allow faster disinflation. Upcoming August CPI and BoE communications remain key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 23.5%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 10%
4.5%+ 8%
$55,592 ปริมาณ
$55,592 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
7%
2.5–2.9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
24%
4.0-4.4%
10%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 23.5%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 10%
4.5%+ 8%
$55,592 ปริมาณ
$55,592 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$876 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,193 ปริมาณ
4%
1.5–1.9%
$554 ปริมาณ
2%
2.0–2.4%
$4,090 ปริมาณ
7%
2.5–2.9%
$13,417 ปริมาณ
23%
3.0–3.4%
$0 ปริมาณ
-
3.5–3.9%
$22,135 ปริมาณ
24%
4.0-4.4%
$5,458 ปริมาณ
10%
4.5%+
$7,869 ปริมาณ
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI data showed easing to 2.6% in June 2026, the lowest since March 2025, supported by moderating food and transport components. However, the February onset of US-Iran conflict drove sustained energy price increases that the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects will lift CPI to 3.2% by October-November before gradual moderation, keeping the 2026 annual average well above the 2% target. These dynamics create closely matched implied probabilities between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% ranges, reflecting trader assessment of whether indirect effects and wage pressures will push outcomes higher or allow faster disinflation. Upcoming August CPI and BoE communications remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,592วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI data showed easing to 2.6% in June 2026, the lowest since March 2025, supported by moderating food and transport components. However, the February onset of US-Iran conflict drove sustained energy price increases that the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects will lift CPI to 3.2% by October-November before gradual moderation, keeping the 2026 annual average well above the 2% target. These dynamics create closely matched implied probabilities between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% ranges, reflecting trader assessment of whether indirect effects and wage pressures will push outcomes higher or allow faster disinflation. Upcoming August CPI and BoE communications remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,592วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK CPI data showed easing to 2.6% in June 2026, the lowest since March 2025, supported by moderating food and transport components. However, the February onset of US-Iran conflict drove sustained energy price increases that the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects will lift CPI to 3.2% by October-November before gradual moderation, keeping the 2026 annual average well above the 2% target. These dynamics create closely matched implied probabilities between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.5–3.9% ranges, reflecting trader assessment of whether indirect effects and wage pressures will push outcomes higher or allow faster disinflation. Upcoming August CPI and BoE communications remain key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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