Recent UK GDP data show Q1 2026 growth at 0.6% QoQ followed by a slowdown to 0.4% in Q2, aligning with Bank of England projections of underlying growth near 0% for Q3 amid the Middle East energy price shock. Elevated import costs and subdued PMI readings have weighed on demand and business confidence, supporting the market-implied odds where 0.0–0.1% leads at 28.5% and 0.2–0.3% follows at 23.0%. Annual forecasts from the OECD, IMF, and EY cluster around 0.8–1.1% for 2026 reflect this softening trajectory versus stronger prior quarters. Key near-term catalysts include August–September data releases and BoE communications that could clarify whether the energy-driven drag intensifies or eases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.0–0.1% 29%
0.2–0.3% 23%
0.4–0.5% 22%
Negative 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 12, 2026
Negative
23%
0.0–0.1%
29%
0.2–0.3%
23%
0.4–0.5%
22%
0.6–0.7%
8%
0.8–0.9%
2%
1.0%+
2%
0.0–0.1% 29%
0.2–0.3% 23%
0.4–0.5% 22%
Negative 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 12, 2026
Negative
$1,843 ปริมาณ
23%
0.0–0.1%
$198 ปริมาณ
29%
0.2–0.3%
$1,376 ปริมาณ
23%
0.4–0.5%
$566 ปริมาณ
22%
0.6–0.7%
$158 ปริมาณ
8%
0.8–0.9%
$139 ปริมาณ
2%
1.0%+
$139 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent UK GDP data show Q1 2026 growth at 0.6% QoQ followed by a slowdown to 0.4% in Q2, aligning with Bank of England projections of underlying growth near 0% for Q3 amid the Middle East energy price shock. Elevated import costs and subdued PMI readings have weighed on demand and business confidence, supporting the market-implied odds where 0.0–0.1% leads at 28.5% and 0.2–0.3% follows at 23.0%. Annual forecasts from the OECD, IMF, and EY cluster around 0.8–1.1% for 2026 reflect this softening trajectory versus stronger prior quarters. Key near-term catalysts include August–September data releases and BoE communications that could clarify whether the energy-driven drag intensifies or eases.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,418วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent UK GDP data show Q1 2026 growth at 0.6% QoQ followed by a slowdown to 0.4% in Q2, aligning with Bank of England projections of underlying growth near 0% for Q3 amid the Middle East energy price shock. Elevated import costs and subdued PMI readings have weighed on demand and business confidence, supporting the market-implied odds where 0.0–0.1% leads at 28.5% and 0.2–0.3% follows at 23.0%. Annual forecasts from the OECD, IMF, and EY cluster around 0.8–1.1% for 2026 reflect this softening trajectory versus stronger prior quarters. Key near-term catalysts include August–September data releases and BoE communications that could clarify whether the energy-driven drag intensifies or eases.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,418วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent UK GDP data show Q1 2026 growth at 0.6% QoQ followed by a slowdown to 0.4% in Q2, aligning with Bank of England projections of underlying growth near 0% for Q3 amid the Middle East energy price shock. Elevated import costs and subdued PMI readings have weighed on demand and business confidence, supporting the market-implied odds where 0.0–0.1% leads at 28.5% and 0.2–0.3% follows at 23.0%. Annual forecasts from the OECD, IMF, and EY cluster around 0.8–1.1% for 2026 reflect this softening trajectory versus stronger prior quarters. Key near-term catalysts include August–September data releases and BoE communications that could clarify whether the energy-driven drag intensifies or eases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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