Recent UK quarterly GDP data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter growth in Q2 2026 after 0.6% in Q1 has reinforced trader expectations for full-year expansion near 1%. Consensus forecasts from EY, OECD, and others cluster at 0.9-1.1%, supported by resilient services output and consumption but tempered by elevated energy costs from Middle East supply disruptions and CPI inflation holding near 2.6%. With the Bank of England maintaining its policy rate at 3.75%, limited rate relief and softening labor conditions anchor the 1-2% band at 66.7% implied probability. Downside risks to the 0-1% range stem from persistent inflation pressures, while upside remains constrained absent stronger fiscal or external demand.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUK Annual GDP Growth 2026
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2% 66.7%
0-1% 26%
<0 5.3%
2-3% 3.7%
$72,655 ปริมาณ
$72,655 ปริมาณ
Feb 12, 2027
<0
5%
0-1%
26%
1-2%
67%
2-3%
4%
3-4%
2%
4-5%
<1%
5%+
<1%
1-2% 66.7%
0-1% 26%
<0 5.3%
2-3% 3.7%
$72,655 ปริมาณ
$72,655 ปริมาณ
Feb 12, 2027
<0
$11,068 ปริมาณ
5%
0-1%
$18,621 ปริมาณ
26%
1-2%
$23,821 ปริมาณ
67%
2-3%
$4,159 ปริมาณ
4%
3-4%
$3,146 ปริมาณ
2%
4-5%
$8,288 ปริมาณ
<1%
5%+
$3,552 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent UK quarterly GDP data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter growth in Q2 2026 after 0.6% in Q1 has reinforced trader expectations for full-year expansion near 1%. Consensus forecasts from EY, OECD, and others cluster at 0.9-1.1%, supported by resilient services output and consumption but tempered by elevated energy costs from Middle East supply disruptions and CPI inflation holding near 2.6%. With the Bank of England maintaining its policy rate at 3.75%, limited rate relief and softening labor conditions anchor the 1-2% band at 66.7% implied probability. Downside risks to the 0-1% range stem from persistent inflation pressures, while upside remains constrained absent stronger fiscal or external demand.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,655วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent UK quarterly GDP data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter growth in Q2 2026 after 0.6% in Q1 has reinforced trader expectations for full-year expansion near 1%. Consensus forecasts from EY, OECD, and others cluster at 0.9-1.1%, supported by resilient services output and consumption but tempered by elevated energy costs from Middle East supply disruptions and CPI inflation holding near 2.6%. With the Bank of England maintaining its policy rate at 3.75%, limited rate relief and softening labor conditions anchor the 1-2% band at 66.7% implied probability. Downside risks to the 0-1% range stem from persistent inflation pressures, while upside remains constrained absent stronger fiscal or external demand.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,655วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK quarterly GDP data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter growth in Q2 2026 after 0.6% in Q1 has reinforced trader expectations for full-year expansion near 1%. Consensus forecasts from EY, OECD, and others cluster at 0.9-1.1%, supported by resilient services output and consumption but tempered by elevated energy costs from Middle East supply disruptions and CPI inflation holding near 2.6%. With the Bank of England maintaining its policy rate at 3.75%, limited rate relief and softening labor conditions anchor the 1-2% band at 66.7% implied probability. Downside risks to the 0-1% range stem from persistent inflation pressures, while upside remains constrained absent stronger fiscal or external demand.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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