Recent Middle East energy supply disruptions have prompted major downward revisions to UK 2026 GDP forecasts, with the IMF, OECD, and EY now centering projections at 0.6–0.8 percent after earlier estimates near 1.3 percent. Q1 2026 growth of 0.6 percent aligned with expectations yet failed to offset higher inflation readings near 3.3 percent and sticky energy prices that are keeping the Bank of England on hold at 3.75 percent. This environment favors the leading 0-1 percent outcome at 47.5 percent implied probability while sustaining competitive pricing for 4-5 percent at 42 percent, as traders weigh the balance between persistent stagflation risks and any potential stabilization in global commodity markets ahead of further data releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUK Annual GDP Growth 2026
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
<0 23%
3-4% 4.2%
0-1% 0
1-2% 0
ใหม่
ใหม่
Feb 12, 2027
<0
23%
0-1%
48%
1-2%
44%
2-3%
39%
3-4%
6%
4-5%
42%
5%+
30%
<0 23%
3-4% 4.2%
0-1% 0
1-2% 0
ใหม่
ใหม่
Feb 12, 2027
<0
$345 ปริมาณ
23%
0-1%
$386 ปริมาณ
48%
1-2%
$210 ปริมาณ
44%
2-3%
$247 ปริมาณ
39%
3-4%
$201 ปริมาณ
6%
4-5%
$428 ปริมาณ
42%
5%+
$252 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Middle East energy supply disruptions have prompted major downward revisions to UK 2026 GDP forecasts, with the IMF, OECD, and EY now centering projections at 0.6–0.8 percent after earlier estimates near 1.3 percent. Q1 2026 growth of 0.6 percent aligned with expectations yet failed to offset higher inflation readings near 3.3 percent and sticky energy prices that are keeping the Bank of England on hold at 3.75 percent. This environment favors the leading 0-1 percent outcome at 47.5 percent implied probability while sustaining competitive pricing for 4-5 percent at 42 percent, as traders weigh the balance between persistent stagflation risks and any potential stabilization in global commodity markets ahead of further data releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,068วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Middle East energy supply disruptions have prompted major downward revisions to UK 2026 GDP forecasts, with the IMF, OECD, and EY now centering projections at 0.6–0.8 percent after earlier estimates near 1.3 percent. Q1 2026 growth of 0.6 percent aligned with expectations yet failed to offset higher inflation readings near 3.3 percent and sticky energy prices that are keeping the Bank of England on hold at 3.75 percent. This environment favors the leading 0-1 percent outcome at 47.5 percent implied probability while sustaining competitive pricing for 4-5 percent at 42 percent, as traders weigh the balance between persistent stagflation risks and any potential stabilization in global commodity markets ahead of further data releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,068วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Middle East energy supply disruptions have prompted major downward revisions to UK 2026 GDP forecasts, with the IMF, OECD, and EY now centering projections at 0.6–0.8 percent after earlier estimates near 1.3 percent. Q1 2026 growth of 0.6 percent aligned with expectations yet failed to offset higher inflation readings near 3.3 percent and sticky energy prices that are keeping the Bank of England on hold at 3.75 percent. This environment favors the leading 0-1 percent outcome at 47.5 percent implied probability while sustaining competitive pricing for 4-5 percent at 42 percent, as traders weigh the balance between persistent stagflation risks and any potential stabilization in global commodity markets ahead of further data releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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