Recent weak eurozone GDP data and downward forecast revisions are anchoring trader consensus around modest 2026 growth. First-quarter output rose just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year, the slowest pace since mid-2025, after energy-supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict lifted oil prices and inflation risks. The ECB’s March projections now peg full-year expansion at 0.9%, with private-sector estimates clustered near 0.8–1.1%, reflecting tighter financial conditions and subdued domestic demand. These developments have lifted market-implied odds for the 1.0–2.0% band to 68% while compressing probabilities on ranges above 3% and below zero. Key upcoming catalysts include the June ECB policy meeting and May inflation prints that will clarify whether the energy shock remains transitory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0% 68%
3.0-4.0% 20.9%
2.0-3.0% 10%
<0% 7.2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
14%
0-1.0%
34%
1.0-2.0%
68%
2.0-3.0%
10%
3.0-4.0%
21%
4.0-5.0%
4%
5.0-6.0%
3%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
3%
1.0-2.0% 68%
3.0-4.0% 20.9%
2.0-3.0% 10%
<0% 7.2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$792 ปริมาณ
14%
0-1.0%
$636 ปริมาณ
34%
1.0-2.0%
$1,474 ปริมาณ
68%
2.0-3.0%
$638 ปริมาณ
10%
3.0-4.0%
$567 ปริมาณ
21%
4.0-5.0%
$1,540 ปริมาณ
4%
5.0-6.0%
$631 ปริมาณ
3%
6.0-7.0%
$1,323 ปริมาณ
1%
7.0%+
$1,110 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak eurozone GDP data and downward forecast revisions are anchoring trader consensus around modest 2026 growth. First-quarter output rose just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year, the slowest pace since mid-2025, after energy-supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict lifted oil prices and inflation risks. The ECB’s March projections now peg full-year expansion at 0.9%, with private-sector estimates clustered near 0.8–1.1%, reflecting tighter financial conditions and subdued domestic demand. These developments have lifted market-implied odds for the 1.0–2.0% band to 68% while compressing probabilities on ranges above 3% and below zero. Key upcoming catalysts include the June ECB policy meeting and May inflation prints that will clarify whether the energy shock remains transitory.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,712วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak eurozone GDP data and downward forecast revisions are anchoring trader consensus around modest 2026 growth. First-quarter output rose just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year, the slowest pace since mid-2025, after energy-supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict lifted oil prices and inflation risks. The ECB’s March projections now peg full-year expansion at 0.9%, with private-sector estimates clustered near 0.8–1.1%, reflecting tighter financial conditions and subdued domestic demand. These developments have lifted market-implied odds for the 1.0–2.0% band to 68% while compressing probabilities on ranges above 3% and below zero. Key upcoming catalysts include the June ECB policy meeting and May inflation prints that will clarify whether the energy shock remains transitory.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,712วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent weak eurozone GDP data and downward forecast revisions are anchoring trader consensus around modest 2026 growth. First-quarter output rose just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year, the slowest pace since mid-2025, after energy-supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict lifted oil prices and inflation risks. The ECB’s March projections now peg full-year expansion at 0.9%, with private-sector estimates clustered near 0.8–1.1%, reflecting tighter financial conditions and subdued domestic demand. These developments have lifted market-implied odds for the 1.0–2.0% band to 68% while compressing probabilities on ranges above 3% and below zero. Key upcoming catalysts include the June ECB policy meeting and May inflation prints that will clarify whether the energy shock remains transitory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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