Eurozone trader sentiment centers on the 0-1.0% annual GDP growth bracket at 71.8% implied probability, driven by the energy price shock and ECB policy tightening that have prompted repeated downward revisions to 2026 forecasts. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and IMF now cluster around 0.8-1.1% growth, citing higher energy costs feeding into 3.0% headline inflation, a June 2026 25-basis-point rate hike, and subdued Q1 activity of just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter. Persistent trade frictions and weak domestic demand reinforce the narrow range around sub-1% expansion, with limited scope for the 1.0-2.0% outcome at 25.5% unless inflation moderates faster than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0% 71.4%
1.0-2.0% 26%
<0% 2.7%
4.0-5.0% 1.6%
$29,795 ปริมาณ
$29,795 ปริมาณ
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
71%
1.0-2.0%
26%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
2%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 71.4%
1.0-2.0% 26%
<0% 2.7%
4.0-5.0% 1.6%
$29,795 ปริมาณ
$29,795 ปริมาณ
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
71%
1.0-2.0%
26%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
2%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone trader sentiment centers on the 0-1.0% annual GDP growth bracket at 71.8% implied probability, driven by the energy price shock and ECB policy tightening that have prompted repeated downward revisions to 2026 forecasts. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and IMF now cluster around 0.8-1.1% growth, citing higher energy costs feeding into 3.0% headline inflation, a June 2026 25-basis-point rate hike, and subdued Q1 activity of just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter. Persistent trade frictions and weak domestic demand reinforce the narrow range around sub-1% expansion, with limited scope for the 1.0-2.0% outcome at 25.5% unless inflation moderates faster than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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