China’s CPI readings have clustered around 1.0–1.3% year-over-year through April 2026, with the latest April print at 1.2% beating consensus amid elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. This recent trajectory underpins the market’s 45% implied probability for a full-year 2026 outturn in the 1.1–1.5% band, as traders weigh persistent weakness in food and housing prices against imported cost pressures that have lifted producer prices to their highest level in three years. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.2%, reflecting tepid domestic demand, while consensus forecasts for the annual average range from 0.6% to 1.2% depending on oil-price assumptions. Market-implied odds therefore embed the view that further energy-price volatility or policy easing could shift the outcome within the current leading range before year-end data finalize the average.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 50%
0.6 – 1.0% 23%
1.6 – 2.0% 18.0%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,788 ปริมาณ
$40,788 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
2%
0.6 – 1.0%
23%
1.1 – 1.5%
43%
1.6 – 2.0%
18%
2.0-2.4%
10%
2.5%+
7%
1.1 – 1.5% 50%
0.6 – 1.0% 23%
1.6 – 2.0% 18.0%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,788 ปริมาณ
$40,788 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$17,491 ปริมาณ
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,347 ปริมาณ
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$2,564 ปริมาณ
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,851 ปริมาณ
2%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,956 ปริมาณ
23%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,463 ปริมาณ
43%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,995 ปริมาณ
18%
2.0-2.4%
$2,580 ปริมาณ
10%
2.5%+
$2,542 ปริมาณ
7%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s CPI readings have clustered around 1.0–1.3% year-over-year through April 2026, with the latest April print at 1.2% beating consensus amid elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. This recent trajectory underpins the market’s 45% implied probability for a full-year 2026 outturn in the 1.1–1.5% band, as traders weigh persistent weakness in food and housing prices against imported cost pressures that have lifted producer prices to their highest level in three years. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.2%, reflecting tepid domestic demand, while consensus forecasts for the annual average range from 0.6% to 1.2% depending on oil-price assumptions. Market-implied odds therefore embed the view that further energy-price volatility or policy easing could shift the outcome within the current leading range before year-end data finalize the average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,788วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s CPI readings have clustered around 1.0–1.3% year-over-year through April 2026, with the latest April print at 1.2% beating consensus amid elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. This recent trajectory underpins the market’s 45% implied probability for a full-year 2026 outturn in the 1.1–1.5% band, as traders weigh persistent weakness in food and housing prices against imported cost pressures that have lifted producer prices to their highest level in three years. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.2%, reflecting tepid domestic demand, while consensus forecasts for the annual average range from 0.6% to 1.2% depending on oil-price assumptions. Market-implied odds therefore embed the view that further energy-price volatility or policy easing could shift the outcome within the current leading range before year-end data finalize the average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,788วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s CPI readings have clustered around 1.0–1.3% year-over-year through April 2026, with the latest April print at 1.2% beating consensus amid elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. This recent trajectory underpins the market’s 45% implied probability for a full-year 2026 outturn in the 1.1–1.5% band, as traders weigh persistent weakness in food and housing prices against imported cost pressures that have lifted producer prices to their highest level in three years. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.2%, reflecting tepid domestic demand, while consensus forecasts for the annual average range from 0.6% to 1.2% depending on oil-price assumptions. Market-implied odds therefore embed the view that further energy-price volatility or policy easing could shift the outcome within the current leading range before year-end data finalize the average.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย