Polymarket traders price a razor-thin contest between 4.00%-4.49% (40.5%) and 4.50%-4.99% (42.5%) for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation, reflecting April 2026 CPI's easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59% peak—the first decline in four months amid seasonal electricity subsidies and softer food prices. Banxico's May 7 rate cut to 6.50% (down 25 basis points) signals modest disinflation tolerance, yet core inflation's stickiness near 3.8% and upticked end-2026 forecasts (4.38% in April survey, from 4.21%) sustain upside risks from wage pressures and potential U.S. tariffs. Key swing factors include May CPI (due early June) and Banxico's June meeting, with IMF projecting 3.9% average amid uncertain global commodity trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMexico Annual Inflation 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
4.50% to 4.99% 54%
4.00% to 4.49% 22%
5.00% to 5.49% 20.3%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
$41,172 ปริมาณ
$41,172 ปริมาณ
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
8%
4.00% to 4.49%
36%
4.50% to 4.99%
38%
5.00% to 5.49%
20%
5.50%+
19%
4.50% to 4.99% 54%
4.00% to 4.49% 22%
5.00% to 5.49% 20.3%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
$41,172 ปริมาณ
$41,172 ปริมาณ
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$494 ปริมาณ
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,115 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
$25,948 ปริมาณ
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$396 ปริมาณ
8%
4.00% to 4.49%
$493 ปริมาณ
36%
4.50% to 4.99%
$3,532 ปริมาณ
38%
5.00% to 5.49%
$1,175 ปริมาณ
20%
5.50%+
$5,020 ปริมาณ
19%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioPolymarket traders price a razor-thin contest between 4.00%-4.49% (40.5%) and 4.50%-4.99% (42.5%) for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation, reflecting April 2026 CPI's easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59% peak—the first decline in four months amid seasonal electricity subsidies and softer food prices. Banxico's May 7 rate cut to 6.50% (down 25 basis points) signals modest disinflation tolerance, yet core inflation's stickiness near 3.8% and upticked end-2026 forecasts (4.38% in April survey, from 4.21%) sustain upside risks from wage pressures and potential U.S. tariffs. Key swing factors include May CPI (due early June) and Banxico's June meeting, with IMF projecting 3.9% average amid uncertain global commodity trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,172วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioPolymarket traders price a razor-thin contest between 4.00%-4.49% (40.5%) and 4.50%-4.99% (42.5%) for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation, reflecting April 2026 CPI's easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59% peak—the first decline in four months amid seasonal electricity subsidies and softer food prices. Banxico's May 7 rate cut to 6.50% (down 25 basis points) signals modest disinflation tolerance, yet core inflation's stickiness near 3.8% and upticked end-2026 forecasts (4.38% in April survey, from 4.21%) sustain upside risks from wage pressures and potential U.S. tariffs. Key swing factors include May CPI (due early June) and Banxico's June meeting, with IMF projecting 3.9% average amid uncertain global commodity trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,172วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a razor-thin contest between 4.00%-4.49% (40.5%) and 4.50%-4.99% (42.5%) for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation, reflecting April 2026 CPI's easing to 4.45% year-over-year from March's 4.59% peak—the first decline in four months amid seasonal electricity subsidies and softer food prices. Banxico's May 7 rate cut to 6.50% (down 25 basis points) signals modest disinflation tolerance, yet core inflation's stickiness near 3.8% and upticked end-2026 forecasts (4.38% in April survey, from 4.21%) sustain upside risks from wage pressures and potential U.S. tariffs. Key swing factors include May CPI (due early June) and Banxico's June meeting, with IMF projecting 3.9% average amid uncertain global commodity trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย