Recent Mexican CPI data show headline inflation easing to 3.12% in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, remaining within Banxico’s 3% ±1% target band amid subdued energy and food prices. Core inflation, however, has stayed stickier near 4%, reflecting persistent services costs and wage pressures. Trader consensus clustering around the 3.00–3.99% bands reflects Banxico’s June projections of gradual convergence to 3% by late 2026–2027 alongside slowing domestic demand and a 6.5% policy rate. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, any renewed U.S. trade frictions, and whether core disinflation accelerates enough to offset upside risks from weather or global commodity volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99% 29.3%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.4%
4.00% to 4.49% 14%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$60,813 ปริมาณ
$60,813 ปริมาณ
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
22%
3.50% to 3.99%
29%
4.00% to 4.49%
14%
4.50% to 4.99%
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
7%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 29.3%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.4%
4.00% to 4.49% 14%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$60,813 ปริมาณ
$60,813 ปริมาณ
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
22%
3.50% to 3.99%
29%
4.00% to 4.49%
14%
4.50% to 4.99%
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
7%
5.50%+
3%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Mexican CPI data show headline inflation easing to 3.12% in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, remaining within Banxico’s 3% ±1% target band amid subdued energy and food prices. Core inflation, however, has stayed stickier near 4%, reflecting persistent services costs and wage pressures. Trader consensus clustering around the 3.00–3.99% bands reflects Banxico’s June projections of gradual convergence to 3% by late 2026–2027 alongside slowing domestic demand and a 6.5% policy rate. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, any renewed U.S. trade frictions, and whether core disinflation accelerates enough to offset upside risks from weather or global commodity volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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