Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded operating licenses for firms like Chevron following the 2026 political transition have lifted Venezuelan crude output to 1.187 million barrels per day in June, the highest since 2019, with exports reaching 1.25 million bpd in May. PDVSA targets 1.37 million bpd by year-end amid recovering trading volumes and foreign investment inflows, though infrastructure bottlenecks, diluent shortages, and capital requirements constrain faster gains. Trader consensus prices in modest further growth through 2026, with OPEC monthly reports and new licensing deals as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million bpd thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
$182,275 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
1.1m
100%
1.2m
56%
1.3m
19%
1.4m
8%
1.5m
6%
1.7m
3%
2m
3%
$182,275 ปริมาณ
1.1m
$20,561 ปริมาณ
100%
1.2m
$10,418 ปริมาณ
56%
1.3m
$7,633 ปริมาณ
19%
1.4m
$19,769 ปริมาณ
8%
1.5m
$9,719 ปริมาณ
6%
1.7m
$58,787 ปริมาณ
3%
2m
$16,311 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded operating licenses for firms like Chevron following the 2026 political transition have lifted Venezuelan crude output to 1.187 million barrels per day in June, the highest since 2019, with exports reaching 1.25 million bpd in May. PDVSA targets 1.37 million bpd by year-end amid recovering trading volumes and foreign investment inflows, though infrastructure bottlenecks, diluent shortages, and capital requirements constrain faster gains. Trader consensus prices in modest further growth through 2026, with OPEC monthly reports and new licensing deals as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million bpd thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$182,275วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded operating licenses for firms like Chevron following the 2026 political transition have lifted Venezuelan crude output to 1.187 million barrels per day in June, the highest since 2019, with exports reaching 1.25 million bpd in May. PDVSA targets 1.37 million bpd by year-end amid recovering trading volumes and foreign investment inflows, though infrastructure bottlenecks, diluent shortages, and capital requirements constrain faster gains. Trader consensus prices in modest further growth through 2026, with OPEC monthly reports and new licensing deals as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million bpd thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$182,275วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded operating licenses for firms like Chevron following the 2026 political transition have lifted Venezuelan crude output to 1.187 million barrels per day in June, the highest since 2019, with exports reaching 1.25 million bpd in May. PDVSA targets 1.37 million bpd by year-end amid recovering trading volumes and foreign investment inflows, though infrastructure bottlenecks, diluent shortages, and capital requirements constrain faster gains. Trader consensus prices in modest further growth through 2026, with OPEC monthly reports and new licensing deals as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million bpd thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย