Recent surges in U.S. spy flights near Cuba and new sanctions targeting Havana's military elites, reported in early May 2026, have fueled speculation amid President Trump's hawkish rhetoric and Pentagon contingency planning for a potential operation disclosed in April. Cuban President Díaz-Canel's calls to prepare for invasion have heightened tensions, yet traders price "No" at 77%, reflecting no executive order, troop mobilizations, or congressional authorization—essential for major military action. With U.S. priorities on Iran peace talks and Venezuela, and historical reluctance for Latin American interventions post-Cold War, the wisdom of crowds sees significant barriers to escalation before year-end, though rhetoric keeps a 23% "Yes" alive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะบุกคิวบาในปี 2026 หรือไม่?
สหรัฐฯจะบุกคิวบาในปี 2026 หรือไม่?
ใช่
$1,961,159 ปริมาณ
$1,961,159 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$1,961,159 ปริมาณ
$1,961,159 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent surges in U.S. spy flights near Cuba and new sanctions targeting Havana's military elites, reported in early May 2026, have fueled speculation amid President Trump's hawkish rhetoric and Pentagon contingency planning for a potential operation disclosed in April. Cuban President Díaz-Canel's calls to prepare for invasion have heightened tensions, yet traders price "No" at 77%, reflecting no executive order, troop mobilizations, or congressional authorization—essential for major military action. With U.S. priorities on Iran peace talks and Venezuela, and historical reluctance for Latin American interventions post-Cold War, the wisdom of crowds sees significant barriers to escalation before year-end, though rhetoric keeps a 23% "Yes" alive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,961,159วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent surges in U.S. spy flights near Cuba and new sanctions targeting Havana's military elites, reported in early May 2026, have fueled speculation amid President Trump's hawkish rhetoric and Pentagon contingency planning for a potential operation disclosed in April. Cuban President Díaz-Canel's calls to prepare for invasion have heightened tensions, yet traders price "No" at 77%, reflecting no executive order, troop mobilizations, or congressional authorization—essential for major military action. With U.S. priorities on Iran peace talks and Venezuela, and historical reluctance for Latin American interventions post-Cold War, the wisdom of crowds sees significant barriers to escalation before year-end, though rhetoric keeps a 23% "Yes" alive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,961,159วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent surges in U.S. spy flights near Cuba and new sanctions targeting Havana's military elites, reported in early May 2026, have fueled speculation amid President Trump's hawkish rhetoric and Pentagon contingency planning for a potential operation disclosed in April. Cuban President Díaz-Canel's calls to prepare for invasion have heightened tensions, yet traders price "No" at 77%, reflecting no executive order, troop mobilizations, or congressional authorization—essential for major military action. With U.S. priorities on Iran peace talks and Venezuela, and historical reluctance for Latin American interventions post-Cold War, the wisdom of crowds sees significant barriers to escalation before year-end, though rhetoric keeps a 23% "Yes" alive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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