Elon Musk’s consistent posting pace of roughly 25–28 times daily underpins the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the 180–239 tweet ranges for August 7–14, reflecting eight days of typical X activity. Recent weekly tracking shows averages near 148–223 posts, aligning with the market’s implied probabilities, while multiple Starlink Falcon 9 launches scheduled for August 8–11 offer the clearest near-term catalyst that could lift volume into the higher bins. Weekday momentum historically outpaces weekends, and any real-time commentary on Tesla, politics, or platform updates could shift the outcome within the narrow 45–55% band separating the leaders. Traders are watching the first few days of the window closely, as early pace often sets the trajectory for these short-term ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว180-199 17%
200-219 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 14%
$82,210 ปริมาณ
$82,210 ปริมาณ
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
6%
160-179
12%
180-199
17%
200-219
17%
220-239
16%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 14%
$82,210 ปริมาณ
$82,210 ปริมาณ
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
6%
160-179
12%
180-199
17%
200-219
17%
220-239
16%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent posting pace of roughly 25–28 times daily underpins the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the 180–239 tweet ranges for August 7–14, reflecting eight days of typical X activity. Recent weekly tracking shows averages near 148–223 posts, aligning with the market’s implied probabilities, while multiple Starlink Falcon 9 launches scheduled for August 8–11 offer the clearest near-term catalyst that could lift volume into the higher bins. Weekday momentum historically outpaces weekends, and any real-time commentary on Tesla, politics, or platform updates could shift the outcome within the narrow 45–55% band separating the leaders. Traders are watching the first few days of the window closely, as early pace often sets the trajectory for these short-term ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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