Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Nantou County, holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability in the November 28, 2026 local election market, reflecting trader consensus on her re-election prospects under Taiwan's simple plurality system. As the sitting county executive since 2022, she benefits from established name recognition, administrative record, and KMT organizational support in a county where the party has maintained strength. Wen Shih-cheng trails at 8.5%, with other listed candidates showing limited market traction. Potential shifts could stem from late candidate registration developments, polling shifts among key voter blocs, or unexpected campaign events before the November vote, though no major recent disruptions have altered the frontrunner's position.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Hsu Shu-hua
91%
Wen Shih-cheng
9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Hsu Shu-hua
$1,923 ปริมาณ
91%
Wen Shih-cheng
$797 ปริมาณ
9%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Nantou County, holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability in the November 28, 2026 local election market, reflecting trader consensus on her re-election prospects under Taiwan's simple plurality system. As the sitting county executive since 2022, she benefits from established name recognition, administrative record, and KMT organizational support in a county where the party has maintained strength. Wen Shih-cheng trails at 8.5%, with other listed candidates showing limited market traction. Potential shifts could stem from late candidate registration developments, polling shifts among key voter blocs, or unexpected campaign events before the November vote, though no major recent disruptions have altered the frontrunner's position.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,720วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Nantou County, holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability in the November 28, 2026 local election market, reflecting trader consensus on her re-election prospects under Taiwan's simple plurality system. As the sitting county executive since 2022, she benefits from established name recognition, administrative record, and KMT organizational support in a county where the party has maintained strength. Wen Shih-cheng trails at 8.5%, with other listed candidates showing limited market traction. Potential shifts could stem from late candidate registration developments, polling shifts among key voter blocs, or unexpected campaign events before the November vote, though no major recent disruptions have altered the frontrunner's position.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,720วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Nantou County, holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability in the November 28, 2026 local election market, reflecting trader consensus on her re-election prospects under Taiwan's simple plurality system. As the sitting county executive since 2022, she benefits from established name recognition, administrative record, and KMT organizational support in a county where the party has maintained strength. Wen Shih-cheng trails at 8.5%, with other listed candidates showing limited market traction. Potential shifts could stem from late candidate registration developments, polling shifts among key voter blocs, or unexpected campaign events before the November vote, though no major recent disruptions have altered the frontrunner's position.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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