Chen Ting-fei holds a dominant position in the Tainan mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following her January 2026 primary victory over Lin Chun-hsien. Traders assign her an 87% implied probability, reflecting Tainan's consistent DPP voting patterns in southern Taiwan and the party's institutional advantages ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Kuomintang candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh trails at 11.5% despite a March 2026 poll narrowing the gap to roughly five points. Lower-priced options such as Lin Yi-feng and Lin Chun-hsien remain marginal. Key variables include candidate platforms on local governance, turnout among core party supporters, and any late campaign developments that could shift the narrow polling margins observed in recent surveys.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChen Ting-fei 88%
Hsieh Lung-chieh 12%
Lin Yi-feng 4.0%
Lin Chun-hsien <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Ting-fei
88%
Hsieh Lung-chieh
12%
Lin Yi-feng
4%
Lin Chun-hsien
1%
Chen Ting-fei 88%
Hsieh Lung-chieh 12%
Lin Yi-feng 4.0%
Lin Chun-hsien <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Ting-fei
$2,328 ปริมาณ
88%
Hsieh Lung-chieh
$391 ปริมาณ
12%
Lin Yi-feng
$151 ปริมาณ
4%
Lin Chun-hsien
$132 ปริมาณ
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds a dominant position in the Tainan mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following her January 2026 primary victory over Lin Chun-hsien. Traders assign her an 87% implied probability, reflecting Tainan's consistent DPP voting patterns in southern Taiwan and the party's institutional advantages ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Kuomintang candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh trails at 11.5% despite a March 2026 poll narrowing the gap to roughly five points. Lower-priced options such as Lin Yi-feng and Lin Chun-hsien remain marginal. Key variables include candidate platforms on local governance, turnout among core party supporters, and any late campaign developments that could shift the narrow polling margins observed in recent surveys.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,001วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds a dominant position in the Tainan mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following her January 2026 primary victory over Lin Chun-hsien. Traders assign her an 87% implied probability, reflecting Tainan's consistent DPP voting patterns in southern Taiwan and the party's institutional advantages ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Kuomintang candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh trails at 11.5% despite a March 2026 poll narrowing the gap to roughly five points. Lower-priced options such as Lin Yi-feng and Lin Chun-hsien remain marginal. Key variables include candidate platforms on local governance, turnout among core party supporters, and any late campaign developments that could shift the narrow polling margins observed in recent surveys.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,001วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Ting-fei holds a dominant position in the Tainan mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following her January 2026 primary victory over Lin Chun-hsien. Traders assign her an 87% implied probability, reflecting Tainan's consistent DPP voting patterns in southern Taiwan and the party's institutional advantages ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Kuomintang candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh trails at 11.5% despite a March 2026 poll narrowing the gap to roughly five points. Lower-priced options such as Lin Yi-feng and Lin Chun-hsien remain marginal. Key variables include candidate platforms on local governance, turnout among core party supporters, and any late campaign developments that could shift the narrow polling margins observed in recent surveys.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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