Elon Musk’s weekly tweet volume on X has historically fluctuated between roughly 150 and 300 posts, shaped by breaking company news at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, as well as his own commentary on politics and culture. With no major product launches, earnings reports, or high-profile events confirmed for August 11–18 2026, traders see the 180–259 range as the most likely outcome, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across those bins. Momentum in recent months shows spikes tied to viral threads or regulatory developments rather than steady daily output, leaving room for upside or downside surprises depending on any last-minute announcements. The market therefore prices modest consistency over extreme bursts or lulls.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 15%
160-179 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
9%
160-179
12%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 15%
160-179 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
<20
$115 ปริมาณ
<1%
20-39
$115 ปริมาณ
<1%
40-59
$115 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-79
$6,502 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-99
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
100-119
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
120-139
$54 ปริมาณ
3%
140-159
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
160-179
$69 ปริมาณ
12%
180-199
$150 ปริมาณ
17%
200-219
$184 ปริมาณ
18%
220-239
$65 ปริมาณ
15%
240-259
$260 ปริมาณ
11%
260-279
$156 ปริมาณ
9%
280-299
$150 ปริมาณ
4%
300-319
$194 ปริมาณ
2%
320-339
$175 ปริมาณ
1%
340-359
$187 ปริมาณ
1%
360-379
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
380-399
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
400-419
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
420-439
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
440-459
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
460-479
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
480-499
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
500+
$200 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s weekly tweet volume on X has historically fluctuated between roughly 150 and 300 posts, shaped by breaking company news at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, as well as his own commentary on politics and culture. With no major product launches, earnings reports, or high-profile events confirmed for August 11–18 2026, traders see the 180–259 range as the most likely outcome, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across those bins. Momentum in recent months shows spikes tied to viral threads or regulatory developments rather than steady daily output, leaving room for upside or downside surprises depending on any last-minute announcements. The market therefore prices modest consistency over extreme bursts or lulls.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,088วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s weekly tweet volume on X has historically fluctuated between roughly 150 and 300 posts, shaped by breaking company news at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, as well as his own commentary on politics and culture. With no major product launches, earnings reports, or high-profile events confirmed for August 11–18 2026, traders see the 180–259 range as the most likely outcome, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across those bins. Momentum in recent months shows spikes tied to viral threads or regulatory developments rather than steady daily output, leaving room for upside or downside surprises depending on any last-minute announcements. The market therefore prices modest consistency over extreme bursts or lulls.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,088วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s weekly tweet volume on X has historically fluctuated between roughly 150 and 300 posts, shaped by breaking company news at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, as well as his own commentary on politics and culture. With no major product launches, earnings reports, or high-profile events confirmed for August 11–18 2026, traders see the 180–259 range as the most likely outcome, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across those bins. Momentum in recent months shows spikes tied to viral threads or regulatory developments rather than steady daily output, leaving room for upside or downside surprises depending on any last-minute announcements. The market therefore prices modest consistency over extreme bursts or lulls.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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