Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 8–10 window centers on the 40–64 range at 47.5% implied probability because the period spans a weekend and Monday, when historical patterns show notably lower daily output. Recent X-tracker data peg his August daily average near 26 overall but closer to 19 on weekends, reflecting a consistent drop in posting frequency outside peak weekdays. The next bracket (65–89 at 28.5%) would require sustained weekday-like momentum driven by ongoing Grok updates or SpaceX commentary, yet no major catalyst has emerged in the past 48 hours to push activity higher. Market-implied odds therefore embed the expectation that routine engagement and platform maintenance will keep totals modest, with any late-breaking news or viral thread serving as the key swing factor before the three-day close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว40-64 48%
65-89 29%
<40 18%
90-114 6%
ใหม่
$16,719 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,719 ปริมาณ
Aug 10, 2026
<40
18%
40-64
48%
65-89
29%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
65-89 29%
<40 18%
90-114 6%
ใหม่
$16,719 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,719 ปริมาณ
Aug 10, 2026
<40
$659 ปริมาณ
18%
40-64
$230 ปริมาณ
48%
65-89
$1,667 ปริมาณ
29%
90-114
$1,478 ปริมาณ
6%
115-139
$1,115 ปริมาณ
1%
140-164
$583 ปริมาณ
<1%
165-189
$583 ปริมาณ
<1%
190-214
$3,943 ปริมาณ
<1%
215-239
$3,176 ปริมาณ
<1%
240+
$3,285 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 8–10 window centers on the 40–64 range at 47.5% implied probability because the period spans a weekend and Monday, when historical patterns show notably lower daily output. Recent X-tracker data peg his August daily average near 26 overall but closer to 19 on weekends, reflecting a consistent drop in posting frequency outside peak weekdays. The next bracket (65–89 at 28.5%) would require sustained weekday-like momentum driven by ongoing Grok updates or SpaceX commentary, yet no major catalyst has emerged in the past 48 hours to push activity higher. Market-implied odds therefore embed the expectation that routine engagement and platform maintenance will keep totals modest, with any late-breaking news or viral thread serving as the key swing factor before the three-day close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,719วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 8–10 window centers on the 40–64 range at 47.5% implied probability because the period spans a weekend and Monday, when historical patterns show notably lower daily output. Recent X-tracker data peg his August daily average near 26 overall but closer to 19 on weekends, reflecting a consistent drop in posting frequency outside peak weekdays. The next bracket (65–89 at 28.5%) would require sustained weekday-like momentum driven by ongoing Grok updates or SpaceX commentary, yet no major catalyst has emerged in the past 48 hours to push activity higher. Market-implied odds therefore embed the expectation that routine engagement and platform maintenance will keep totals modest, with any late-breaking news or viral thread serving as the key swing factor before the three-day close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,719วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 8–10 window centers on the 40–64 range at 47.5% implied probability because the period spans a weekend and Monday, when historical patterns show notably lower daily output. Recent X-tracker data peg his August daily average near 26 overall but closer to 19 on weekends, reflecting a consistent drop in posting frequency outside peak weekdays. The next bracket (65–89 at 28.5%) would require sustained weekday-like momentum driven by ongoing Grok updates or SpaceX commentary, yet no major catalyst has emerged in the past 48 hours to push activity higher. Market-implied odds therefore embed the expectation that routine engagement and platform maintenance will keep totals modest, with any late-breaking news or viral thread serving as the key swing factor before the three-day close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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