Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July 2026 has anchored trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability, as the Tom Holland-led Marvel title delivered the largest launch in history and quickly became 2026’s highest-grossing release. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 24.5% on the strength of its December 18 date and MCU event status, though pre-sales and December timing face a steep hurdle after Spider-Man’s benchmark. Toy Story 5’s June $160 million opening and the lower-profile November and December releases for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain long shots at under 0.5% each. Key upcoming catalysts include final 2026 box-office tallies and any late-year event-film adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 74%
Avengers: Doomsday 25%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,352 ปริมาณ
$65,352 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
74%
Avengers: Doomsday
25%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 74%
Avengers: Doomsday 25%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,352 ปริมาณ
$65,352 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$15,481 ปริมาณ
74%
Avengers: Doomsday
$17,777 ปริมาณ
25%
Toy Story 5
$3,366 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,178 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July 2026 has anchored trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability, as the Tom Holland-led Marvel title delivered the largest launch in history and quickly became 2026’s highest-grossing release. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 24.5% on the strength of its December 18 date and MCU event status, though pre-sales and December timing face a steep hurdle after Spider-Man’s benchmark. Toy Story 5’s June $160 million opening and the lower-profile November and December releases for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain long shots at under 0.5% each. Key upcoming catalysts include final 2026 box-office tallies and any late-year event-film adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,352วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July 2026 has anchored trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability, as the Tom Holland-led Marvel title delivered the largest launch in history and quickly became 2026’s highest-grossing release. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 24.5% on the strength of its December 18 date and MCU event status, though pre-sales and December timing face a steep hurdle after Spider-Man’s benchmark. Toy Story 5’s June $160 million opening and the lower-profile November and December releases for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain long shots at under 0.5% each. Key upcoming catalysts include final 2026 box-office tallies and any late-year event-film adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,352วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July 2026 has anchored trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability, as the Tom Holland-led Marvel title delivered the largest launch in history and quickly became 2026’s highest-grossing release. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 24.5% on the strength of its December 18 date and MCU event status, though pre-sales and December timing face a steep hurdle after Spider-Man’s benchmark. Toy Story 5’s June $160 million opening and the lower-profile November and December releases for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain long shots at under 0.5% each. Key upcoming catalysts include final 2026 box-office tallies and any late-year event-film adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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