Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic debut, widely projected near $195–250 million and already surpassing prior 2026 benchmarks like Toy Story 5’s $159 million opening, anchors the 76.5% implied probability. Strong presales, broad demographic appeal including younger audiences drawn to Zendaya and Sadie Sink, and early global totals exceeding $1 billion have cemented trader consensus around the Tom Holland-led tentpole. Avengers: Doomsday retains 23.5% support as the next major Marvel event film slated for December, though its holiday corridor faces a steep climb to eclipse the summer benchmark. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping remain long shots given softer tracking and earlier release windows. The market’s focus now shifts to final domestic tallies and any late-year surprises that could reset the hierarchy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$62,958 ปริมาณ
$62,958 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
77%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$62,958 ปริมาณ
$62,958 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$15,104 ปริมาณ
77%
Avengers: Doomsday
$16,097 ปริมาณ
24%
Toy Story 5
$3,197 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,010 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic debut, widely projected near $195–250 million and already surpassing prior 2026 benchmarks like Toy Story 5’s $159 million opening, anchors the 76.5% implied probability. Strong presales, broad demographic appeal including younger audiences drawn to Zendaya and Sadie Sink, and early global totals exceeding $1 billion have cemented trader consensus around the Tom Holland-led tentpole. Avengers: Doomsday retains 23.5% support as the next major Marvel event film slated for December, though its holiday corridor faces a steep climb to eclipse the summer benchmark. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping remain long shots given softer tracking and earlier release windows. The market’s focus now shifts to final domestic tallies and any late-year surprises that could reset the hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,958วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic debut, widely projected near $195–250 million and already surpassing prior 2026 benchmarks like Toy Story 5’s $159 million opening, anchors the 76.5% implied probability. Strong presales, broad demographic appeal including younger audiences drawn to Zendaya and Sadie Sink, and early global totals exceeding $1 billion have cemented trader consensus around the Tom Holland-led tentpole. Avengers: Doomsday retains 23.5% support as the next major Marvel event film slated for December, though its holiday corridor faces a steep climb to eclipse the summer benchmark. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping remain long shots given softer tracking and earlier release windows. The market’s focus now shifts to final domestic tallies and any late-year surprises that could reset the hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,958วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic debut, widely projected near $195–250 million and already surpassing prior 2026 benchmarks like Toy Story 5’s $159 million opening, anchors the 76.5% implied probability. Strong presales, broad demographic appeal including younger audiences drawn to Zendaya and Sadie Sink, and early global totals exceeding $1 billion have cemented trader consensus around the Tom Holland-led tentpole. Avengers: Doomsday retains 23.5% support as the next major Marvel event film slated for December, though its holiday corridor faces a steep climb to eclipse the summer benchmark. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping remain long shots given softer tracking and earlier release windows. The market’s focus now shifts to final domestic tallies and any late-year surprises that could reset the hierarchy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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