Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during military strikes in Caracas. He faces longstanding Southern District of New York indictments on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges, with his wife Cilia Flores also detained and both having pleaded not guilty under special administrative measures. Venezuela’s interim government led by Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners and Americans as a concession to secure U.S. backing, while repeatedly demanding Maduro’s return. Proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, with legal challenges to the extraterritorial arrest potentially reaching higher courts. Traders focus on trial timelines, possible plea negotiations, diplomatic pressure from Caracas, or health developments as the main variables that could shift release prospects before key resolution dates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2,631,311 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2026
31 ธันวาคม
14%
$2,631,311 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$235,862 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during military strikes in Caracas. He faces longstanding Southern District of New York indictments on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges, with his wife Cilia Flores also detained and both having pleaded not guilty under special administrative measures. Venezuela’s interim government led by Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners and Americans as a concession to secure U.S. backing, while repeatedly demanding Maduro’s return. Proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, with legal challenges to the extraterritorial arrest potentially reaching higher courts. Traders focus on trial timelines, possible plea negotiations, diplomatic pressure from Caracas, or health developments as the main variables that could shift release prospects before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,631,311วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during military strikes in Caracas. He faces longstanding Southern District of New York indictments on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges, with his wife Cilia Flores also detained and both having pleaded not guilty under special administrative measures. Venezuela’s interim government led by Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners and Americans as a concession to secure U.S. backing, while repeatedly demanding Maduro’s return. Proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, with legal challenges to the extraterritorial arrest potentially reaching higher courts. Traders focus on trial timelines, possible plea negotiations, diplomatic pressure from Caracas, or health developments as the main variables that could shift release prospects before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,631,311วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces during military strikes in Caracas. He faces longstanding Southern District of New York indictments on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges, with his wife Cilia Flores also detained and both having pleaded not guilty under special administrative measures. Venezuela’s interim government led by Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners and Americans as a concession to secure U.S. backing, while repeatedly demanding Maduro’s return. Proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, with legal challenges to the extraterritorial arrest potentially reaching higher courts. Traders focus on trial timelines, possible plea negotiations, diplomatic pressure from Caracas, or health developments as the main variables that could shift release prospects before key resolution dates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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