The U.S. conducted a targeted January 2026 special operation in Venezuela that captured President Nicolás Maduro without triggering sustained occupation or broader conflict. Subsequent U.S. actions have centered on naval strikes against suspected drug vessels, sanctions, fuel blockades, and joint operations with regional partners rather than ground invasions or regime-change campaigns across Latin America. Ongoing pressure on Cuba and limited engagements elsewhere remain below thresholds that traders associate with full-scale invasion. With no major escalations reported since early 2026 and the calendar year more than halfway complete, market pricing reflects trader consensus that additional qualifying military invasions are unlikely before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว12% โอกาส
$269,623 ปริมาณ
$269,623 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
12% โอกาส
$269,623 ปริมาณ
$269,623 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. conducted a targeted January 2026 special operation in Venezuela that captured President Nicolás Maduro without triggering sustained occupation or broader conflict. Subsequent U.S. actions have centered on naval strikes against suspected drug vessels, sanctions, fuel blockades, and joint operations with regional partners rather than ground invasions or regime-change campaigns across Latin America. Ongoing pressure on Cuba and limited engagements elsewhere remain below thresholds that traders associate with full-scale invasion. With no major escalations reported since early 2026 and the calendar year more than halfway complete, market pricing reflects trader consensus that additional qualifying military invasions are unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$269,623วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. conducted a targeted January 2026 special operation in Venezuela that captured President Nicolás Maduro without triggering sustained occupation or broader conflict. Subsequent U.S. actions have centered on naval strikes against suspected drug vessels, sanctions, fuel blockades, and joint operations with regional partners rather than ground invasions or regime-change campaigns across Latin America. Ongoing pressure on Cuba and limited engagements elsewhere remain below thresholds that traders associate with full-scale invasion. With no major escalations reported since early 2026 and the calendar year more than halfway complete, market pricing reflects trader consensus that additional qualifying military invasions are unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$269,623วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. conducted a targeted January 2026 special operation in Venezuela that captured President Nicolás Maduro without triggering sustained occupation or broader conflict. Subsequent U.S. actions have centered on naval strikes against suspected drug vessels, sanctions, fuel blockades, and joint operations with regional partners rather than ground invasions or regime-change campaigns across Latin America. Ongoing pressure on Cuba and limited engagements elsewhere remain below thresholds that traders associate with full-scale invasion. With no major escalations reported since early 2026 and the calendar year more than halfway complete, market pricing reflects trader consensus that additional qualifying military invasions are unlikely before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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