**The 75.5% trader consensus favoring “No” reflects the limited scope of the U.S. operation against Venezuela in early January 2026 and the absence of comparable actions elsewhere in the region since then.** U.S. forces conducted a brief special operation on January 3 that captured Nicolás Maduro and involved targeted strikes on air defenses and infrastructure, framed officially as a law-enforcement action tied to narcotics charges rather than a broad territorial invasion or occupation. Subsequent U.S. strikes in Venezuela, including those against gang targets in June 2026, have remained narrow and have not expanded into sustained ground campaigns or operations against other Latin American states. No public evidence indicates preparations for additional invasions of countries such as Cuba, Nicaragua, or Mexico through the remainder of the year, and regional diplomatic and military responses have not triggered wider escalation. The market therefore prices the low likelihood of a qualifying full-scale invasion occurring before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$247,009 ปริมาณ
$247,009 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$247,009 ปริมาณ
$247,009 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**The 75.5% trader consensus favoring “No” reflects the limited scope of the U.S. operation against Venezuela in early January 2026 and the absence of comparable actions elsewhere in the region since then.** U.S. forces conducted a brief special operation on January 3 that captured Nicolás Maduro and involved targeted strikes on air defenses and infrastructure, framed officially as a law-enforcement action tied to narcotics charges rather than a broad territorial invasion or occupation. Subsequent U.S. strikes in Venezuela, including those against gang targets in June 2026, have remained narrow and have not expanded into sustained ground campaigns or operations against other Latin American states. No public evidence indicates preparations for additional invasions of countries such as Cuba, Nicaragua, or Mexico through the remainder of the year, and regional diplomatic and military responses have not triggered wider escalation. The market therefore prices the low likelihood of a qualifying full-scale invasion occurring before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$247,009วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**The 75.5% trader consensus favoring “No” reflects the limited scope of the U.S. operation against Venezuela in early January 2026 and the absence of comparable actions elsewhere in the region since then.** U.S. forces conducted a brief special operation on January 3 that captured Nicolás Maduro and involved targeted strikes on air defenses and infrastructure, framed officially as a law-enforcement action tied to narcotics charges rather than a broad territorial invasion or occupation. Subsequent U.S. strikes in Venezuela, including those against gang targets in June 2026, have remained narrow and have not expanded into sustained ground campaigns or operations against other Latin American states. No public evidence indicates preparations for additional invasions of countries such as Cuba, Nicaragua, or Mexico through the remainder of the year, and regional diplomatic and military responses have not triggered wider escalation. The market therefore prices the low likelihood of a qualifying full-scale invasion occurring before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$247,009วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The 75.5% trader consensus favoring “No” reflects the limited scope of the U.S. operation against Venezuela in early January 2026 and the absence of comparable actions elsewhere in the region since then.** U.S. forces conducted a brief special operation on January 3 that captured Nicolás Maduro and involved targeted strikes on air defenses and infrastructure, framed officially as a law-enforcement action tied to narcotics charges rather than a broad territorial invasion or occupation. Subsequent U.S. strikes in Venezuela, including those against gang targets in June 2026, have remained narrow and have not expanded into sustained ground campaigns or operations against other Latin American states. No public evidence indicates preparations for additional invasions of countries such as Cuba, Nicaragua, or Mexico through the remainder of the year, and regional diplomatic and military responses have not triggered wider escalation. The market therefore prices the low likelihood of a qualifying full-scale invasion occurring before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย