Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 40% amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and persistent affordability concerns. Traders' tight clustering around the 37.5–38.9 range reflects this stability in aggregates, as weekly shifts from events like gas price spikes and military developments have produced only modest movements without decisive new catalysts. Key variables that could create separation before August 21 include any escalation or de-escalation signals in foreign policy, fresh economic data releases, or high-visibility administration actions that alter independent voter sentiment in real time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTrump approval rating on August 21?
38.0–38.4 36%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 23%
37.0–37.4 11%
<37.0
6%
37.0–37.4
11%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
36%
38.5–38.9
23%
39.0+
8%
38.0–38.4 36%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 23%
37.0–37.4 11%
<37.0
6%
37.0–37.4
11%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
36%
38.5–38.9
23%
39.0+
8%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 40% amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and persistent affordability concerns. Traders' tight clustering around the 37.5–38.9 range reflects this stability in aggregates, as weekly shifts from events like gas price spikes and military developments have produced only modest movements without decisive new catalysts. Key variables that could create separation before August 21 include any escalation or de-escalation signals in foreign policy, fresh economic data releases, or high-visibility administration actions that alter independent voter sentiment in real time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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