Germany's Q2 2026 GDP growth faces downward pressure from the April surge in energy prices triggered by the Iran conflict, which prompted the economy ministry to slash its full-year 2026 forecast from 1.0% to 0.5%. This follows Q1 growth of 0.3% quarter-over-quarter, driven by private consumption and exports, but momentum appears fragile amid elevated oil and gas costs that weigh on manufacturing and household spending. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested, with the 0.1-0.3% range edging the 1.0-1.2% bucket at 48% versus 47%, underscoring trader uncertainty over whether expansionary fiscal measures can offset the energy shock. Key swing factors include upcoming industrial production and PMI readings, with the Q2 flash estimate due in August likely to clarify the trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGermany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
0.4-0.6% 51%
1.0-1.2% 46%
1.3%+ 44%
0.7-0.9% 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 30, 2026
≤0.0%
47%
0.1-0.3%
47%
0.4-0.6%
27%
0.7-0.9%
25%
1.0-1.2%
46%
1.3%+
44%
0.4-0.6% 51%
1.0-1.2% 46%
1.3%+ 44%
0.7-0.9% 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 30, 2026
≤0.0%
$8 ปริมาณ
47%
0.1-0.3%
$5 ปริมาณ
47%
0.4-0.6%
$4 ปริมาณ
27%
0.7-0.9%
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
1.0-1.2%
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
1.3%+
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's Q2 2026 GDP growth faces downward pressure from the April surge in energy prices triggered by the Iran conflict, which prompted the economy ministry to slash its full-year 2026 forecast from 1.0% to 0.5%. This follows Q1 growth of 0.3% quarter-over-quarter, driven by private consumption and exports, but momentum appears fragile amid elevated oil and gas costs that weigh on manufacturing and household spending. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested, with the 0.1-0.3% range edging the 1.0-1.2% bucket at 48% versus 47%, underscoring trader uncertainty over whether expansionary fiscal measures can offset the energy shock. Key swing factors include upcoming industrial production and PMI readings, with the Q2 flash estimate due in August likely to clarify the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's Q2 2026 GDP growth faces downward pressure from the April surge in energy prices triggered by the Iran conflict, which prompted the economy ministry to slash its full-year 2026 forecast from 1.0% to 0.5%. This follows Q1 growth of 0.3% quarter-over-quarter, driven by private consumption and exports, but momentum appears fragile amid elevated oil and gas costs that weigh on manufacturing and household spending. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested, with the 0.1-0.3% range edging the 1.0-1.2% bucket at 48% versus 47%, underscoring trader uncertainty over whether expansionary fiscal measures can offset the energy shock. Key swing factors include upcoming industrial production and PMI readings, with the Q2 flash estimate due in August likely to clarify the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany's Q2 2026 GDP growth faces downward pressure from the April surge in energy prices triggered by the Iran conflict, which prompted the economy ministry to slash its full-year 2026 forecast from 1.0% to 0.5%. This follows Q1 growth of 0.3% quarter-over-quarter, driven by private consumption and exports, but momentum appears fragile amid elevated oil and gas costs that weigh on manufacturing and household spending. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested, with the 0.1-0.3% range edging the 1.0-1.2% bucket at 48% versus 47%, underscoring trader uncertainty over whether expansionary fiscal measures can offset the energy shock. Key swing factors include upcoming industrial production and PMI readings, with the Q2 flash estimate due in August likely to clarify the trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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