Traders are assigning closely matched probabilities across the 1.228 million to 1.259 million range for the San Francisco Metro median home value on May 31, reflecting balanced sentiment on near-term housing dynamics. Recent Federal Reserve signals on monetary policy have kept mortgage rates elevated, tempering buyer demand while tech employment trends in the Bay Area provide offsetting support to local purchasing power. With the resolution date only two weeks away, the tight clustering of outcomes underscores sensitivity to any final housing inventory reports or seasonal adjustments in May data. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty, as small shifts in interest rate expectations or regional economic releases could tip the outcome within the contested bands.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
1.228 - 1.238m 35%
<1.228m 21%
1.238 - 1.249m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
<1.228m
21%
1.228 - 1.238m
22%
1.238 - 1.249m
21%
1.249 - 1.259m
19%
1.259 - 1.27m
15%
1.27 - 1.28m
7%
1.28 - 1.301m
7%
>1.301m
7%
1.228 - 1.238m 35%
<1.228m 21%
1.238 - 1.249m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
<1.228m
$167 ปริมาณ
21%
1.228 - 1.238m
$62 ปริมาณ
22%
1.238 - 1.249m
$436 ปริมาณ
21%
1.249 - 1.259m
$1,325 ปริมาณ
19%
1.259 - 1.27m
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
1.27 - 1.28m
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
1.28 - 1.301m
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
>1.301m
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Traders are assigning closely matched probabilities across the 1.228 million to 1.259 million range for the San Francisco Metro median home value on May 31, reflecting balanced sentiment on near-term housing dynamics. Recent Federal Reserve signals on monetary policy have kept mortgage rates elevated, tempering buyer demand while tech employment trends in the Bay Area provide offsetting support to local purchasing power. With the resolution date only two weeks away, the tight clustering of outcomes underscores sensitivity to any final housing inventory reports or seasonal adjustments in May data. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty, as small shifts in interest rate expectations or regional economic releases could tip the outcome within the contested bands.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,990วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Traders are assigning closely matched probabilities across the 1.228 million to 1.259 million range for the San Francisco Metro median home value on May 31, reflecting balanced sentiment on near-term housing dynamics. Recent Federal Reserve signals on monetary policy have kept mortgage rates elevated, tempering buyer demand while tech employment trends in the Bay Area provide offsetting support to local purchasing power. With the resolution date only two weeks away, the tight clustering of outcomes underscores sensitivity to any final housing inventory reports or seasonal adjustments in May data. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty, as small shifts in interest rate expectations or regional economic releases could tip the outcome within the contested bands.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,990วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are assigning closely matched probabilities across the 1.228 million to 1.259 million range for the San Francisco Metro median home value on May 31, reflecting balanced sentiment on near-term housing dynamics. Recent Federal Reserve signals on monetary policy have kept mortgage rates elevated, tempering buyer demand while tech employment trends in the Bay Area provide offsetting support to local purchasing power. With the resolution date only two weeks away, the tight clustering of outcomes underscores sensitivity to any final housing inventory reports or seasonal adjustments in May data. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty, as small shifts in interest rate expectations or regional economic releases could tip the outcome within the contested bands.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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