Argentina's monthly CPI for May trades with traders assigning a 47% implied probability to the 2.2–2.4% band, reflecting optimism from April's 2.6% print—down sharply from March's 3.4% and breaking a five-month acceleration trend—per INDEC data released May 14. This deceleration, though slightly above the 2.5% consensus forecast, reinforces President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening as key disinflation drivers, with annual inflation easing to 32.4%. Polymarket sentiment clusters around sub-3% outcomes (top four bins totaling ~117% no, wait aggregate leading low), pricing in sustained momentum amid stable peso dynamics and subdued demand pressures. Upcoming May CPI, due mid-June, hinges on food and energy components; persistent fiscal discipline could validate the low-2% consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Monthly Inflation - May
Argentina Monthly Inflation - May
2.2–2.4% 53%
3.4–3.6% 22%
3.1–3.3% 22%
3.7–3.9% 21%
ใหม่
$46,532 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$46,532 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
18%
2.2–2.4%
47%
2.5–2.7%
18%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
22%
3.4–3.6%
22%
3.7–3.9%
21%
4.0%+
10%
2.2–2.4% 53%
3.4–3.6% 22%
3.1–3.3% 22%
3.7–3.9% 21%
ใหม่
$46,532 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$46,532 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$410 ปริมาณ
18%
2.2–2.4%
$46,046 ปริมาณ
47%
2.5–2.7%
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
2.8–3.0%
$14 ปริมาณ
11%
3.1–3.3%
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
3.4–3.6%
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
3.7–3.9%
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
4.0%+
$62 ปริมาณ
10%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's monthly CPI for May trades with traders assigning a 47% implied probability to the 2.2–2.4% band, reflecting optimism from April's 2.6% print—down sharply from March's 3.4% and breaking a five-month acceleration trend—per INDEC data released May 14. This deceleration, though slightly above the 2.5% consensus forecast, reinforces President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening as key disinflation drivers, with annual inflation easing to 32.4%. Polymarket sentiment clusters around sub-3% outcomes (top four bins totaling ~117% no, wait aggregate leading low), pricing in sustained momentum amid stable peso dynamics and subdued demand pressures. Upcoming May CPI, due mid-June, hinges on food and energy components; persistent fiscal discipline could validate the low-2% consensus.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,532วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's monthly CPI for May trades with traders assigning a 47% implied probability to the 2.2–2.4% band, reflecting optimism from April's 2.6% print—down sharply from March's 3.4% and breaking a five-month acceleration trend—per INDEC data released May 14. This deceleration, though slightly above the 2.5% consensus forecast, reinforces President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening as key disinflation drivers, with annual inflation easing to 32.4%. Polymarket sentiment clusters around sub-3% outcomes (top four bins totaling ~117% no, wait aggregate leading low), pricing in sustained momentum amid stable peso dynamics and subdued demand pressures. Upcoming May CPI, due mid-June, hinges on food and energy components; persistent fiscal discipline could validate the low-2% consensus.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,532วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's monthly CPI for May trades with traders assigning a 47% implied probability to the 2.2–2.4% band, reflecting optimism from April's 2.6% print—down sharply from March's 3.4% and breaking a five-month acceleration trend—per INDEC data released May 14. This deceleration, though slightly above the 2.5% consensus forecast, reinforces President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening as key disinflation drivers, with annual inflation easing to 32.4%. Polymarket sentiment clusters around sub-3% outcomes (top four bins totaling ~117% no, wait aggregate leading low), pricing in sustained momentum amid stable peso dynamics and subdued demand pressures. Upcoming May CPI, due mid-June, hinges on food and energy components; persistent fiscal discipline could validate the low-2% consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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