Recent central bank market expectations surveys have lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, reflecting persistent monthly price pressures that have kept year-over-year readings near 32.4 percent in April. This upward revision in analyst consensus, driven by seasonal factors, elevated fuel costs and lingering inertia despite fiscal tightening, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 30.0–34.9 percent range. With 2025’s disinflation trajectory now facing commodity-driven upside risks and monetary policy still anchored by a strong peso, market participants continue to weigh the balance between ongoing stabilization and potential reacceleration ahead of key data releases through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Annual Inflation 2026
40-44.9% 24.4%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.3%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
23%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
18%
40-44.9%
24%
45%+
9%
40-44.9% 24.4%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.3%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
23%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
18%
40-44.9%
24%
45%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent central bank market expectations surveys have lifted the median 2026 inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, reflecting persistent monthly price pressures that have kept year-over-year readings near 32.4 percent in April. This upward revision in analyst consensus, driven by seasonal factors, elevated fuel costs and lingering inertia despite fiscal tightening, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 30.0–34.9 percent range. With 2025’s disinflation trajectory now facing commodity-driven upside risks and monetary policy still anchored by a strong peso, market participants continue to weigh the balance between ongoing stabilization and potential reacceleration ahead of key data releases through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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