Recent geopolitical pressures on global oil prices drove a June 2026 CPI spike to 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July, anchoring trader focus on the South African Reserve Bank's May forecast of 4.4% average headline inflation for the full year amid the new 3% target with a 1-point tolerance band. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1–4.7% ranges, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel and food costs will moderate further or reaccelerate, alongside rand volatility and services inflation. Key swing factors include upcoming Stats SA releases, SARB communications on the policy rate path, and any shifts in energy benchmarks that could alter the annual average trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 21.5%
3.8-4.1% 13.4%
>5.0% 8.8%
$39,980 ปริมาณ
$39,980 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
<1%
2.9-3.2%
3%
3.2-3.5%
3%
3.5-3.8%
5%
3.8-4.1%
13%
4.1-4.4%
30%
4.4-4.7%
22%
4.7-5.0%
8%
>5.0%
9%
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 21.5%
3.8-4.1% 13.4%
>5.0% 8.8%
$39,980 ปริมาณ
$39,980 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
$1,219 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,854 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,564 ปริมาณ
3%
3.2-3.5%
$1,245 ปริมาณ
3%
3.5-3.8%
$1,798 ปริมาณ
5%
3.8-4.1%
$3,106 ปริมาณ
13%
4.1-4.4%
$2,590 ปริมาณ
30%
4.4-4.7%
$14,995 ปริมาณ
22%
4.7-5.0%
$3,372 ปริมาณ
8%
>5.0%
$8,236 ปริมาณ
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent geopolitical pressures on global oil prices drove a June 2026 CPI spike to 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July, anchoring trader focus on the South African Reserve Bank's May forecast of 4.4% average headline inflation for the full year amid the new 3% target with a 1-point tolerance band. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1–4.7% ranges, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel and food costs will moderate further or reaccelerate, alongside rand volatility and services inflation. Key swing factors include upcoming Stats SA releases, SARB communications on the policy rate path, and any shifts in energy benchmarks that could alter the annual average trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,980วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent geopolitical pressures on global oil prices drove a June 2026 CPI spike to 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July, anchoring trader focus on the South African Reserve Bank's May forecast of 4.4% average headline inflation for the full year amid the new 3% target with a 1-point tolerance band. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1–4.7% ranges, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel and food costs will moderate further or reaccelerate, alongside rand volatility and services inflation. Key swing factors include upcoming Stats SA releases, SARB communications on the policy rate path, and any shifts in energy benchmarks that could alter the annual average trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,980วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical pressures on global oil prices drove a June 2026 CPI spike to 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July, anchoring trader focus on the South African Reserve Bank's May forecast of 4.4% average headline inflation for the full year amid the new 3% target with a 1-point tolerance band. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1–4.7% ranges, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel and food costs will moderate further or reaccelerate, alongside rand volatility and services inflation. Key swing factors include upcoming Stats SA releases, SARB communications on the policy rate path, and any shifts in energy benchmarks that could alter the annual average trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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