Recent acceleration in South Korea's headline CPI to 2.6% year-over-year in April 2026, a 21-month high fueled by surging petroleum prices amid Middle East tensions, has narrowed the gap among mid-2% outcomes in the 2026 annual inflation market. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 2.1-2.9%, reflecting trader assessment that the Bank of Korea's 2.2% full-year forecast faces credible upside risks from persistent energy costs and robust semiconductor-driven growth near 2%. Hawkish signals from BoK officials, including readiness to consider rate hikes as early as July, and rising inflation expectations to 2.9% underscore sensitivity to May CPI data and oil-price trajectories, while core inflation remains anchored near target.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSouth Korea Annual Inflation 2026
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 37.4%
1.8% to 2.0% 30.9%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
$11,072 ปริมาณ
$11,072 ปริมาณ
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
38%
2.4% to 2.6%
37%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
33%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 37.4%
1.8% to 2.0% 30.9%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
$11,072 ปริมาณ
$11,072 ปริมาณ
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
38%
2.4% to 2.6%
37%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
33%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent acceleration in South Korea's headline CPI to 2.6% year-over-year in April 2026, a 21-month high fueled by surging petroleum prices amid Middle East tensions, has narrowed the gap among mid-2% outcomes in the 2026 annual inflation market. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 2.1-2.9%, reflecting trader assessment that the Bank of Korea's 2.2% full-year forecast faces credible upside risks from persistent energy costs and robust semiconductor-driven growth near 2%. Hawkish signals from BoK officials, including readiness to consider rate hikes as early as July, and rising inflation expectations to 2.9% underscore sensitivity to May CPI data and oil-price trajectories, while core inflation remains anchored near target.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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