Recent July 2026 CPI data, released August 12 at 3.4% year-over-year, provides the immediate anchor for August expectations amid ongoing moderation from June’s 3.5% print. Cleveland Fed nowcasts project August headline CPI near 3.36%, while core measures remain elevated around 2.4%, reflecting persistent shelter costs, tariff pass-through, and energy volatility tied to Middle East developments. Trader probabilities cluster tightly at 3.3–3.4% because monthly price momentum hinges on unpredictable components like gasoline and vehicle insurance, with limited visibility into August’s final readings ahead of the September 11 release. Fed communications and labor-market resilience further support this narrow range rather than sharper disinflation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 37%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 18%
3.6% 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
3%
3.1%
2%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
28%
3.4%
37%
3.5%
18%
3.6%
7%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
4%
3.9%
3%
≥4.0%
2%
3.4% 37%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 18%
3.6% 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$72 ปริมาณ
3%
3.0%
$72 ปริมาณ
3%
3.1%
$72 ปริมาณ
2%
3.2%
$72 ปริมาณ
5%
3.3%
$313 ปริมาณ
28%
3.4%
$1,561 ปริมาณ
37%
3.5%
$200 ปริมาณ
18%
3.6%
$72 ปริมาณ
7%
3.7%
$171 ปริมาณ
5%
3.8%
$192 ปริมาณ
4%
3.9%
$192 ปริมาณ
3%
≥4.0%
$64 ปริมาณ
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data, released August 12 at 3.4% year-over-year, provides the immediate anchor for August expectations amid ongoing moderation from June’s 3.5% print. Cleveland Fed nowcasts project August headline CPI near 3.36%, while core measures remain elevated around 2.4%, reflecting persistent shelter costs, tariff pass-through, and energy volatility tied to Middle East developments. Trader probabilities cluster tightly at 3.3–3.4% because monthly price momentum hinges on unpredictable components like gasoline and vehicle insurance, with limited visibility into August’s final readings ahead of the September 11 release. Fed communications and labor-market resilience further support this narrow range rather than sharper disinflation.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,051วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data, released August 12 at 3.4% year-over-year, provides the immediate anchor for August expectations amid ongoing moderation from June’s 3.5% print. Cleveland Fed nowcasts project August headline CPI near 3.36%, while core measures remain elevated around 2.4%, reflecting persistent shelter costs, tariff pass-through, and energy volatility tied to Middle East developments. Trader probabilities cluster tightly at 3.3–3.4% because monthly price momentum hinges on unpredictable components like gasoline and vehicle insurance, with limited visibility into August’s final readings ahead of the September 11 release. Fed communications and labor-market resilience further support this narrow range rather than sharper disinflation.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,051วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data, released August 12 at 3.4% year-over-year, provides the immediate anchor for August expectations amid ongoing moderation from June’s 3.5% print. Cleveland Fed nowcasts project August headline CPI near 3.36%, while core measures remain elevated around 2.4%, reflecting persistent shelter costs, tariff pass-through, and energy volatility tied to Middle East developments. Trader probabilities cluster tightly at 3.3–3.4% because monthly price momentum hinges on unpredictable components like gasoline and vehicle insurance, with limited visibility into August’s final readings ahead of the September 11 release. Fed communications and labor-market resilience further support this narrow range rather than sharper disinflation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย