Polymarket traders price a 63.8% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the recent surge to 3.0% in the April flash estimate—up from 2.6% in March and the highest since late 2023—driven by rebounding energy prices amid geopolitical disruptions. This uptick, alongside sticky core inflation around 2.4%, has prompted hawkish ECB signals and upward revisions in forecasts, with the latest ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (May 4) lifting 2026 average expectations to 2.7% from prior estimates near 2%. Secondary odds cluster at 2.8-3.0% (18.9%), capturing trader consensus on persistent pressures, while tail risks like <1.0% (16.4%) price deflation scenarios. Full April data due May 20 and June ECB projections loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 23.8%
<1.0% 12.8%
2.5–2.7% 11.5%
$12,537 ปริมาณ
$12,537 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
16%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
2%
2.2–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.7%
12%
2.8-3.0%
24%
3.1%+
58%
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 23.8%
<1.0% 12.8%
2.5–2.7% 11.5%
$12,537 ปริมาณ
$12,537 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$1,069 ปริมาณ
16%
1.0–1.2%
$769 ปริมาณ
4%
1.3–1.5%
$1,910 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,009 ปริมาณ
1%
1.9–2.1%
$2,821 ปริมาณ
2%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 ปริมาณ
11%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 ปริมาณ
12%
2.8-3.0%
$635 ปริมาณ
24%
3.1%+
$2,163 ปริมาณ
58%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlPolymarket traders price a 63.8% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the recent surge to 3.0% in the April flash estimate—up from 2.6% in March and the highest since late 2023—driven by rebounding energy prices amid geopolitical disruptions. This uptick, alongside sticky core inflation around 2.4%, has prompted hawkish ECB signals and upward revisions in forecasts, with the latest ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (May 4) lifting 2026 average expectations to 2.7% from prior estimates near 2%. Secondary odds cluster at 2.8-3.0% (18.9%), capturing trader consensus on persistent pressures, while tail risks like <1.0% (16.4%) price deflation scenarios. Full April data due May 20 and June ECB projections loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,537วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 19, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlPolymarket traders price a 63.8% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the recent surge to 3.0% in the April flash estimate—up from 2.6% in March and the highest since late 2023—driven by rebounding energy prices amid geopolitical disruptions. This uptick, alongside sticky core inflation around 2.4%, has prompted hawkish ECB signals and upward revisions in forecasts, with the latest ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (May 4) lifting 2026 average expectations to 2.7% from prior estimates near 2%. Secondary odds cluster at 2.8-3.0% (18.9%), capturing trader consensus on persistent pressures, while tail risks like <1.0% (16.4%) price deflation scenarios. Full April data due May 20 and June ECB projections loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,537วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 19, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 63.8% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the recent surge to 3.0% in the April flash estimate—up from 2.6% in March and the highest since late 2023—driven by rebounding energy prices amid geopolitical disruptions. This uptick, alongside sticky core inflation around 2.4%, has prompted hawkish ECB signals and upward revisions in forecasts, with the latest ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (May 4) lifting 2026 average expectations to 2.7% from prior estimates near 2%. Secondary odds cluster at 2.8-3.0% (18.9%), capturing trader consensus on persistent pressures, while tail risks like <1.0% (16.4%) price deflation scenarios. Full April data due May 20 and June ECB projections loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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