Polymarket traders assign a 24.1% implied probability to Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation landing in the 5.00-5.49% bin, with adjacent 4.50-4.99% and 5.50-5.99% ranges at 19.1% and 18.9%, respectively, underscoring a closely contested market shaped by persistent upside pressures. April 2026 IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year from 4.14% in March—fueled by food and medicine costs—while the Banco Central do Brasil's Focus survey hiked its full-year 2026 forecast to 4.91% for the ninth consecutive week on May 11. Hawkish Copom minutes after the Selic cut to 14.50% signal cautious easing, differentiating outcomes via services momentum and commodity volatility; June's monthly IPCA and next policy meeting will be pivotal swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrazil Annual Inflation 2026
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49% 27.3%
5.50-5.99% 20.0%
4.50-4.99% 16.3%
7.00%+ 8.1%
$57,263 ปริมาณ
$57,263 ปริมาณ
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
9%
3.50-3.99%
3%
4.00-4.49%
7%
4.50-4.99%
16%
5.00-5.49%
26%
5.50-5.99%
20%
6.00-6.49%
7%
6.50-6.99%
4%
7.00%+
10%
5.00-5.49% 27.3%
5.50-5.99% 20.0%
4.50-4.99% 16.3%
7.00%+ 8.1%
$57,263 ปริมาณ
$57,263 ปริมาณ
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
$4,305 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,370 ปริมาณ
9%
3.50-3.99%
$8,965 ปริมาณ
3%
4.00-4.49%
$7,722 ปริมาณ
7%
4.50-4.99%
$7,022 ปริมาณ
16%
5.00-5.49%
$6,104 ปริมาณ
26%
5.50-5.99%
$5,690 ปริมาณ
20%
6.00-6.49%
$4,670 ปริมาณ
7%
6.50-6.99%
$4,858 ปริมาณ
4%
7.00%+
$3,556 ปริมาณ
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders assign a 24.1% implied probability to Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation landing in the 5.00-5.49% bin, with adjacent 4.50-4.99% and 5.50-5.99% ranges at 19.1% and 18.9%, respectively, underscoring a closely contested market shaped by persistent upside pressures. April 2026 IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year from 4.14% in March—fueled by food and medicine costs—while the Banco Central do Brasil's Focus survey hiked its full-year 2026 forecast to 4.91% for the ninth consecutive week on May 11. Hawkish Copom minutes after the Selic cut to 14.50% signal cautious easing, differentiating outcomes via services momentum and commodity volatility; June's monthly IPCA and next policy meeting will be pivotal swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,263วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders assign a 24.1% implied probability to Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation landing in the 5.00-5.49% bin, with adjacent 4.50-4.99% and 5.50-5.99% ranges at 19.1% and 18.9%, respectively, underscoring a closely contested market shaped by persistent upside pressures. April 2026 IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year from 4.14% in March—fueled by food and medicine costs—while the Banco Central do Brasil's Focus survey hiked its full-year 2026 forecast to 4.91% for the ninth consecutive week on May 11. Hawkish Copom minutes after the Selic cut to 14.50% signal cautious easing, differentiating outcomes via services momentum and commodity volatility; June's monthly IPCA and next policy meeting will be pivotal swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,263วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 24.1% implied probability to Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation landing in the 5.00-5.49% bin, with adjacent 4.50-4.99% and 5.50-5.99% ranges at 19.1% and 18.9%, respectively, underscoring a closely contested market shaped by persistent upside pressures. April 2026 IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year from 4.14% in March—fueled by food and medicine costs—while the Banco Central do Brasil's Focus survey hiked its full-year 2026 forecast to 4.91% for the ninth consecutive week on May 11. Hawkish Copom minutes after the Selic cut to 14.50% signal cautious easing, differentiating outcomes via services momentum and commodity volatility; June's monthly IPCA and next policy meeting will be pivotal swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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