Recent CPI prints at 4.38% in June and 4.45% in July 2026, driven by food and transport components amid elevated global energy prices from the Middle East conflict, have positioned the 4.50%+ outcome as the clear leader. The RBI's August 2026 policy held the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance while projecting FY27 CPI inflation at 5.0%, citing supply-side pressures and resilient 6.7% GDP growth. Trader consensus, reflected in 79.5% implied probability for 4.50%+, incorporates persistent commodity pass-through risks and base effects, tempered by the central bank's tolerance band and expectations for moderation later in the year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIndia Annual Inflation 2026
India Annual Inflation 2026
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 14.5%
<0.75% 3.3%
3.00% to 3.74% 2.7%
$77,992 ปริมาณ
$77,992 ปริมาณ
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
3%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
15%
4.50%+
80%
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 14.5%
<0.75% 3.3%
3.00% to 3.74% 2.7%
$77,992 ปริมาณ
$77,992 ปริมาณ
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$1,769 ปริมาณ
3%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1,191 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1,265 ปริมาณ
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$24,989 ปริมาณ
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2,081 ปริมาณ
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
$29,492 ปริมาณ
15%
4.50%+
$17,205 ปริมาณ
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent CPI prints at 4.38% in June and 4.45% in July 2026, driven by food and transport components amid elevated global energy prices from the Middle East conflict, have positioned the 4.50%+ outcome as the clear leader. The RBI's August 2026 policy held the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance while projecting FY27 CPI inflation at 5.0%, citing supply-side pressures and resilient 6.7% GDP growth. Trader consensus, reflected in 79.5% implied probability for 4.50%+, incorporates persistent commodity pass-through risks and base effects, tempered by the central bank's tolerance band and expectations for moderation later in the year.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,992วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent CPI prints at 4.38% in June and 4.45% in July 2026, driven by food and transport components amid elevated global energy prices from the Middle East conflict, have positioned the 4.50%+ outcome as the clear leader. The RBI's August 2026 policy held the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance while projecting FY27 CPI inflation at 5.0%, citing supply-side pressures and resilient 6.7% GDP growth. Trader consensus, reflected in 79.5% implied probability for 4.50%+, incorporates persistent commodity pass-through risks and base effects, tempered by the central bank's tolerance band and expectations for moderation later in the year.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,992วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent CPI prints at 4.38% in June and 4.45% in July 2026, driven by food and transport components amid elevated global energy prices from the Middle East conflict, have positioned the 4.50%+ outcome as the clear leader. The RBI's August 2026 policy held the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance while projecting FY27 CPI inflation at 5.0%, citing supply-side pressures and resilient 6.7% GDP growth. Trader consensus, reflected in 79.5% implied probability for 4.50%+, incorporates persistent commodity pass-through risks and base effects, tempered by the central bank's tolerance band and expectations for moderation later in the year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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