India's retail inflation has accelerated in recent months, with July 2026 CPI at 4.45% and June at 4.38%, driven by elevated food prices and energy cost pass-through amid Middle East tensions and a weaker monsoon. These pressures, alongside forecasts for FY27 averaging near 4.8-5.2%, underpin trader positioning favoring the 4.50%+ annual outcome at 79.5% implied probability. The Reserve Bank of India's 2-6% target band provides context, but persistent upside risks from commodity volatility and base effects limit support for lower ranges, with the 3.75-4.49% bucket holding secondary weight at 14.5%. Upcoming data releases and RBI communications remain key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIndia Annual Inflation 2026
India Annual Inflation 2026
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 14.5%
<0.75% 3.5%
3.00% to 3.74% 2.8%
$78,025 ปริมาณ
$78,025 ปริมาณ
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
15%
4.50%+
80%
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 14.5%
<0.75% 3.5%
3.00% to 3.74% 2.8%
$78,025 ปริมาณ
$78,025 ปริมาณ
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$1,769 ปริมาณ
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1,191 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1,265 ปริมาณ
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$24,989 ปริมาณ
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2,081 ปริมาณ
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
$29,492 ปริมาณ
15%
4.50%+
$17,238 ปริมาณ
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's retail inflation has accelerated in recent months, with July 2026 CPI at 4.45% and June at 4.38%, driven by elevated food prices and energy cost pass-through amid Middle East tensions and a weaker monsoon. These pressures, alongside forecasts for FY27 averaging near 4.8-5.2%, underpin trader positioning favoring the 4.50%+ annual outcome at 79.5% implied probability. The Reserve Bank of India's 2-6% target band provides context, but persistent upside risks from commodity volatility and base effects limit support for lower ranges, with the 3.75-4.49% bucket holding secondary weight at 14.5%. Upcoming data releases and RBI communications remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,025วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's retail inflation has accelerated in recent months, with July 2026 CPI at 4.45% and June at 4.38%, driven by elevated food prices and energy cost pass-through amid Middle East tensions and a weaker monsoon. These pressures, alongside forecasts for FY27 averaging near 4.8-5.2%, underpin trader positioning favoring the 4.50%+ annual outcome at 79.5% implied probability. The Reserve Bank of India's 2-6% target band provides context, but persistent upside risks from commodity volatility and base effects limit support for lower ranges, with the 3.75-4.49% bucket holding secondary weight at 14.5%. Upcoming data releases and RBI communications remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,025วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's retail inflation has accelerated in recent months, with July 2026 CPI at 4.45% and June at 4.38%, driven by elevated food prices and energy cost pass-through amid Middle East tensions and a weaker monsoon. These pressures, alongside forecasts for FY27 averaging near 4.8-5.2%, underpin trader positioning favoring the 4.50%+ annual outcome at 79.5% implied probability. The Reserve Bank of India's 2-6% target band provides context, but persistent upside risks from commodity volatility and base effects limit support for lower ranges, with the 3.75-4.49% bucket holding secondary weight at 14.5%. Upcoming data releases and RBI communications remain key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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