Traders pricing an 87% implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting reflect the Monetary Policy Committee’s cautious stance amid March 2026 CPI inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by energy price surges from the Middle East conflict. The April 30 hold at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote underscored balancing sticky inflation above the 2% target against slowing wage growth and softer growth forecasts. Market-implied odds of a 25 basis point hike at just 12.5% capture upside risks to second-round effects, while negligible probabilities for cuts signal that recent data have tempered earlier easing expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include April CPI and May labor market releases, which will shape the MPC’s assessment of whether persistent energy-driven pressures warrant any policy adjustment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of England decision in June?
Bank of England decision in June?
No change 88%
25 bps increase 13%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$125,837 ปริมาณ
$125,837 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
88%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 88%
25 bps increase 13%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$125,837 ปริมาณ
$125,837 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps decrease
$23,669 ปริมาณ
<1%
No change
$29,410 ปริมาณ
88%
25 bps increase
$39,793 ปริมาณ
13%
50+ bps increase
$17,878 ปริมาณ
<1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders pricing an 87% implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting reflect the Monetary Policy Committee’s cautious stance amid March 2026 CPI inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by energy price surges from the Middle East conflict. The April 30 hold at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote underscored balancing sticky inflation above the 2% target against slowing wage growth and softer growth forecasts. Market-implied odds of a 25 basis point hike at just 12.5% capture upside risks to second-round effects, while negligible probabilities for cuts signal that recent data have tempered earlier easing expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include April CPI and May labor market releases, which will shape the MPC’s assessment of whether persistent energy-driven pressures warrant any policy adjustment.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125,837วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders pricing an 87% implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting reflect the Monetary Policy Committee’s cautious stance amid March 2026 CPI inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by energy price surges from the Middle East conflict. The April 30 hold at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote underscored balancing sticky inflation above the 2% target against slowing wage growth and softer growth forecasts. Market-implied odds of a 25 basis point hike at just 12.5% capture upside risks to second-round effects, while negligible probabilities for cuts signal that recent data have tempered earlier easing expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include April CPI and May labor market releases, which will shape the MPC’s assessment of whether persistent energy-driven pressures warrant any policy adjustment.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125,837วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders pricing an 87% implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting reflect the Monetary Policy Committee’s cautious stance amid March 2026 CPI inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by energy price surges from the Middle East conflict. The April 30 hold at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote underscored balancing sticky inflation above the 2% target against slowing wage growth and softer growth forecasts. Market-implied odds of a 25 basis point hike at just 12.5% capture upside risks to second-round effects, while negligible probabilities for cuts signal that recent data have tempered earlier easing expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include April CPI and May labor market releases, which will shape the MPC’s assessment of whether persistent energy-driven pressures warrant any policy adjustment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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