Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark base rate steady at 2.50% at the upcoming May 28 monetary policy meeting, reflecting the central bank's cautious, data-dependent stance amid persistent Middle East supply shocks and a weaker won near 17-year lows against the dollar. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-over-year—a 21-month high driven by surging petroleum prices—yet the Board opted to maintain rates unchanged for the seventh straight meeting on April 10, prioritizing growth risks over immediate tightening despite a senior deputy governor's May 3 call to consider hikes. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May inflation data or sharper currency depreciation, potentially prompting a 25-basis-point increase.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 97.0%
Increase 2.6%
Decrease <1%
$98,152 ปริมาณ
$98,152 ปริมาณ
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
3%
No Change 97.0%
Increase 2.6%
Decrease <1%
$98,152 ปริมาณ
$98,152 ปริมาณ
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark base rate steady at 2.50% at the upcoming May 28 monetary policy meeting, reflecting the central bank's cautious, data-dependent stance amid persistent Middle East supply shocks and a weaker won near 17-year lows against the dollar. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-over-year—a 21-month high driven by surging petroleum prices—yet the Board opted to maintain rates unchanged for the seventh straight meeting on April 10, prioritizing growth risks over immediate tightening despite a senior deputy governor's May 3 call to consider hikes. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May inflation data or sharper currency depreciation, potentially prompting a 25-basis-point increase.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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