Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s mid-June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the central bank’s ongoing cautious easing cycle after consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in April and 14.75% in March. Moderating GDP growth and transmission from prior restrictive policy support further calibration, even as April inflation projections for 2026 were revised higher to 4.6%—well above the 3% target midpoint—amid oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions. Market-implied odds for no change sit at 23.3%, while an increase remains near zero, as analysts anticipate the committee will prioritize data dependence over pausing the path toward lower rates by year-end. The June decision will hinge on the latest IPCA release and external developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Brazil Decision in June?
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease 76%
No Change 23.3%
Increase <1%
$140,225 ปริมาณ
$140,225 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Increase
1%
No Change
23%
Decrease
76%
Decrease 76%
No Change 23.3%
Increase <1%
$140,225 ปริมาณ
$140,225 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Increase
$41,318 ปริมาณ
1%
No Change
$36,465 ปริมาณ
23%
Decrease
$62,442 ปริมาณ
76%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s mid-June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the central bank’s ongoing cautious easing cycle after consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in April and 14.75% in March. Moderating GDP growth and transmission from prior restrictive policy support further calibration, even as April inflation projections for 2026 were revised higher to 4.6%—well above the 3% target midpoint—amid oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions. Market-implied odds for no change sit at 23.3%, while an increase remains near zero, as analysts anticipate the committee will prioritize data dependence over pausing the path toward lower rates by year-end. The June decision will hinge on the latest IPCA release and external developments.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140,225วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s mid-June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the central bank’s ongoing cautious easing cycle after consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in April and 14.75% in March. Moderating GDP growth and transmission from prior restrictive policy support further calibration, even as April inflation projections for 2026 were revised higher to 4.6%—well above the 3% target midpoint—amid oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions. Market-implied odds for no change sit at 23.3%, while an increase remains near zero, as analysts anticipate the committee will prioritize data dependence over pausing the path toward lower rates by year-end. The June decision will hinge on the latest IPCA release and external developments.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140,225วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s mid-June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the central bank’s ongoing cautious easing cycle after consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in April and 14.75% in March. Moderating GDP growth and transmission from prior restrictive policy support further calibration, even as April inflation projections for 2026 were revised higher to 4.6%—well above the 3% target midpoint—amid oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions. Market-implied odds for no change sit at 23.3%, while an increase remains near zero, as analysts anticipate the committee will prioritize data dependence over pausing the path toward lower rates by year-end. The June decision will hinge on the latest IPCA release and external developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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