The Bank of Japan's April 27-28 decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent on a 6-3 vote, with three dissenters favoring an immediate 25 basis point increase, has anchored trader expectations for a June move. The May 12 release of board opinions underscored upside inflation risks from elevated crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, prompting the central bank to raise its fiscal 2026 core CPI forecast to 2.8 percent. This hawkish tilt, alongside persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar, has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike to 79.8 percent. With the next meeting scheduled for June 15-16, incoming May inflation data and any further yen intervention signals will likely determine whether the current consensus holds or shifts toward a no-change outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Japan Decision in June?
Bank of Japan Decision in June?
25 bps increase 79.8%
No change 20%
50+ bps increase 1.2%
Decrease rates <1%
$114,885 ปริมาณ
$114,885 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease rates
1%
No change
20%
25 bps increase
80%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps increase 79.8%
No change 20%
50+ bps increase 1.2%
Decrease rates <1%
$114,885 ปริมาณ
$114,885 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease rates
$34,145 ปริมาณ
1%
No change
$28,983 ปริมาณ
20%
25 bps increase
$27,391 ปริมาณ
80%
50+ bps increase
$24,366 ปริมาณ
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan's April 27-28 decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent on a 6-3 vote, with three dissenters favoring an immediate 25 basis point increase, has anchored trader expectations for a June move. The May 12 release of board opinions underscored upside inflation risks from elevated crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, prompting the central bank to raise its fiscal 2026 core CPI forecast to 2.8 percent. This hawkish tilt, alongside persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar, has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike to 79.8 percent. With the next meeting scheduled for June 15-16, incoming May inflation data and any further yen intervention signals will likely determine whether the current consensus holds or shifts toward a no-change outcome.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$114,885วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan's April 27-28 decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent on a 6-3 vote, with three dissenters favoring an immediate 25 basis point increase, has anchored trader expectations for a June move. The May 12 release of board opinions underscored upside inflation risks from elevated crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, prompting the central bank to raise its fiscal 2026 core CPI forecast to 2.8 percent. This hawkish tilt, alongside persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar, has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike to 79.8 percent. With the next meeting scheduled for June 15-16, incoming May inflation data and any further yen intervention signals will likely determine whether the current consensus holds or shifts toward a no-change outcome.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$114,885วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Japan's April 27-28 decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent on a 6-3 vote, with three dissenters favoring an immediate 25 basis point increase, has anchored trader expectations for a June move. The May 12 release of board opinions underscored upside inflation risks from elevated crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, prompting the central bank to raise its fiscal 2026 core CPI forecast to 2.8 percent. This hawkish tilt, alongside persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar, has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike to 79.8 percent. With the next meeting scheduled for June 15-16, incoming May inflation data and any further yen intervention signals will likely determine whether the current consensus holds or shifts toward a no-change outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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