Eurozone inflation surged to 3% in April 2026, propelled by a 10.9% year-on-year jump in energy prices amid the ongoing Iran conflict and stalled peace talks, intensifying upside risks flagged by ECB President Christine Lagarde at the April 30 Governing Council meeting where rates were held steady. Consumer inflation expectations leaped to 4%, while professional forecasters project headline HICP at 2.7% for the year, prompting Bloomberg and Reuters polls to forecast two ECB deposit rate hikes starting in June. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for a 2026 hike underscores fears of entrenched price pressures outweighing meager 0.1% Q1 growth, though Middle East de-escalation or energy price relief could avert tightening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$111,659 ปริมาณ
$111,659 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$111,659 ปริมาณ
$111,659 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 3% in April 2026, propelled by a 10.9% year-on-year jump in energy prices amid the ongoing Iran conflict and stalled peace talks, intensifying upside risks flagged by ECB President Christine Lagarde at the April 30 Governing Council meeting where rates were held steady. Consumer inflation expectations leaped to 4%, while professional forecasters project headline HICP at 2.7% for the year, prompting Bloomberg and Reuters polls to forecast two ECB deposit rate hikes starting in June. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for a 2026 hike underscores fears of entrenched price pressures outweighing meager 0.1% Q1 growth, though Middle East de-escalation or energy price relief could avert tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,659วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 3% in April 2026, propelled by a 10.9% year-on-year jump in energy prices amid the ongoing Iran conflict and stalled peace talks, intensifying upside risks flagged by ECB President Christine Lagarde at the April 30 Governing Council meeting where rates were held steady. Consumer inflation expectations leaped to 4%, while professional forecasters project headline HICP at 2.7% for the year, prompting Bloomberg and Reuters polls to forecast two ECB deposit rate hikes starting in June. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for a 2026 hike underscores fears of entrenched price pressures outweighing meager 0.1% Q1 growth, though Middle East de-escalation or energy price relief could avert tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,659วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 3% in April 2026, propelled by a 10.9% year-on-year jump in energy prices amid the ongoing Iran conflict and stalled peace talks, intensifying upside risks flagged by ECB President Christine Lagarde at the April 30 Governing Council meeting where rates were held steady. Consumer inflation expectations leaped to 4%, while professional forecasters project headline HICP at 2.7% for the year, prompting Bloomberg and Reuters polls to forecast two ECB deposit rate hikes starting in June. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for a 2026 hike underscores fears of entrenched price pressures outweighing meager 0.1% Q1 growth, though Middle East de-escalation or energy price relief could avert tightening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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