The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, amid persistent inflation pressures from higher fuel costs and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Recent Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts show trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027, with the labor market still tight despite projected slowing in economic activity. Market-implied pricing, reflected in ASX futures and Polymarket odds, assigns roughly 81 percent probability to no change, consistent with the post-hike repricing that has tempered earlier expectations of further tightening this year. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will likely shape any last-minute shifts ahead of the Board’s next policy announcement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo Change 82%
Increase 18%
Decrease <1%
$25,462 ปริมาณ
$25,462 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
<1%
No Change
82%
Increase
24%
No Change 82%
Increase 18%
Decrease <1%
$25,462 ปริมาณ
$25,462 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
$7,827 ปริมาณ
<1%
No Change
$8,790 ปริมาณ
82%
Increase
$8,845 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, amid persistent inflation pressures from higher fuel costs and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Recent Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts show trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027, with the labor market still tight despite projected slowing in economic activity. Market-implied pricing, reflected in ASX futures and Polymarket odds, assigns roughly 81 percent probability to no change, consistent with the post-hike repricing that has tempered earlier expectations of further tightening this year. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will likely shape any last-minute shifts ahead of the Board’s next policy announcement.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,462วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, amid persistent inflation pressures from higher fuel costs and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Recent Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts show trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027, with the labor market still tight despite projected slowing in economic activity. Market-implied pricing, reflected in ASX futures and Polymarket odds, assigns roughly 81 percent probability to no change, consistent with the post-hike repricing that has tempered earlier expectations of further tightening this year. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will likely shape any last-minute shifts ahead of the Board’s next policy announcement.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,462วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, amid persistent inflation pressures from higher fuel costs and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Recent Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts show trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027, with the labor market still tight despite projected slowing in economic activity. Market-implied pricing, reflected in ASX futures and Polymarket odds, assigns roughly 81 percent probability to no change, consistent with the post-hike repricing that has tempered earlier expectations of further tightening this year. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will likely shape any last-minute shifts ahead of the Board’s next policy announcement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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