Traders assign an 86% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s official cash rate at its May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, reflecting the central bank’s recent decision to hold the OCR steady at 2.25% in April amid softening domestic demand and spare capacity that continues to moderate medium-term inflation pressures. Near-term upside risks from higher oil prices linked to Middle East developments have lifted one-year-ahead inflation expectations modestly, yet the RBNZ’s forward guidance and the May 2026 Survey of Expectations—showing only a small upward revision in near-term OCR forecasts to 2.34%—support market pricing that favors a pause rather than a 25-basis-point hike or cut. The upcoming release will clarify whether these dynamics sustain the current policy stance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
No Change 86%
Increase 15%
Decrease <1%
$30,488 ปริมาณ
$30,488 ปริมาณ
May 27, 2026
Increase
15%
No Change
86%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 86%
Increase 15%
Decrease <1%
$30,488 ปริมาณ
$30,488 ปริมาณ
May 27, 2026
Increase
$10,210 ปริมาณ
15%
No Change
$9,756 ปริมาณ
86%
Decrease
$10,522 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign an 86% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s official cash rate at its May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, reflecting the central bank’s recent decision to hold the OCR steady at 2.25% in April amid softening domestic demand and spare capacity that continues to moderate medium-term inflation pressures. Near-term upside risks from higher oil prices linked to Middle East developments have lifted one-year-ahead inflation expectations modestly, yet the RBNZ’s forward guidance and the May 2026 Survey of Expectations—showing only a small upward revision in near-term OCR forecasts to 2.34%—support market pricing that favors a pause rather than a 25-basis-point hike or cut. The upcoming release will clarify whether these dynamics sustain the current policy stance.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,488วันสิ้นสุด
May 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign an 86% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s official cash rate at its May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, reflecting the central bank’s recent decision to hold the OCR steady at 2.25% in April amid softening domestic demand and spare capacity that continues to moderate medium-term inflation pressures. Near-term upside risks from higher oil prices linked to Middle East developments have lifted one-year-ahead inflation expectations modestly, yet the RBNZ’s forward guidance and the May 2026 Survey of Expectations—showing only a small upward revision in near-term OCR forecasts to 2.34%—support market pricing that favors a pause rather than a 25-basis-point hike or cut. The upcoming release will clarify whether these dynamics sustain the current policy stance.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,488วันสิ้นสุด
May 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign an 86% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s official cash rate at its May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, reflecting the central bank’s recent decision to hold the OCR steady at 2.25% in April amid softening domestic demand and spare capacity that continues to moderate medium-term inflation pressures. Near-term upside risks from higher oil prices linked to Middle East developments have lifted one-year-ahead inflation expectations modestly, yet the RBNZ’s forward guidance and the May 2026 Survey of Expectations—showing only a small upward revision in near-term OCR forecasts to 2.34%—support market pricing that favors a pause rather than a 25-basis-point hike or cut. The upcoming release will clarify whether these dynamics sustain the current policy stance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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