The Bank of Korea’s May 2026 decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% while lifting its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven export strength and its inflation projection to 2.7% on higher oil prices has anchored trader expectations for a 25-basis-point hike at the July Monetary Policy Board meeting. Two board members dissented in favor of tightening, and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s comments signaled a data-dependent pivot toward policy normalization after eight straight holds. Market-implied odds of 72.5% for an increase reflect this hawkish shift, while the 23% probability of no change incorporates residual geopolitical uncertainty and the softer won; the next key catalysts are incoming CPI prints and any FOMC signals ahead of the July 16 decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Increase 92%
No Change 7%
Decrease <1%
$76,708 ปริมาณ
$76,708 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
Decrease
<1%
No Change
7%
Increase
92%
Increase 92%
No Change 7%
Decrease <1%
$76,708 ปริมาณ
$76,708 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
Decrease
$34,293 ปริมาณ
<1%
No Change
$23,269 ปริมาณ
7%
Increase
$19,147 ปริมาณ
92%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Korea’s May 2026 decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% while lifting its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven export strength and its inflation projection to 2.7% on higher oil prices has anchored trader expectations for a 25-basis-point hike at the July Monetary Policy Board meeting. Two board members dissented in favor of tightening, and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s comments signaled a data-dependent pivot toward policy normalization after eight straight holds. Market-implied odds of 72.5% for an increase reflect this hawkish shift, while the 23% probability of no change incorporates residual geopolitical uncertainty and the softer won; the next key catalysts are incoming CPI prints and any FOMC signals ahead of the July 16 decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,708วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Korea’s May 2026 decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% while lifting its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven export strength and its inflation projection to 2.7% on higher oil prices has anchored trader expectations for a 25-basis-point hike at the July Monetary Policy Board meeting. Two board members dissented in favor of tightening, and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s comments signaled a data-dependent pivot toward policy normalization after eight straight holds. Market-implied odds of 72.5% for an increase reflect this hawkish shift, while the 23% probability of no change incorporates residual geopolitical uncertainty and the softer won; the next key catalysts are incoming CPI prints and any FOMC signals ahead of the July 16 decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,708วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s May 2026 decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% while lifting its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven export strength and its inflation projection to 2.7% on higher oil prices has anchored trader expectations for a 25-basis-point hike at the July Monetary Policy Board meeting. Two board members dissented in favor of tightening, and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s comments signaled a data-dependent pivot toward policy normalization after eight straight holds. Market-implied odds of 72.5% for an increase reflect this hawkish shift, while the 23% probability of no change incorporates residual geopolitical uncertainty and the softer won; the next key catalysts are incoming CPI prints and any FOMC signals ahead of the July 16 decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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