Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life imprisonment sentence for insurrection, tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, anchors the 92.6% trader consensus against release before 2027. The former president remains at Seoul Detention Center while multiple related criminal cases proceed and appeals move forward, with the process expected to extend well into 2027 under South Korean judicial timelines. Recent court actions, including new detention warrants and rulings upholding custody, have reinforced extended confinement rather than any pathway to early release or bail. These developments, combined with the absence of successful appeals or executive intervention to date, explain the strong market positioning, though ongoing litigation leaves room for procedural shifts within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
$182,284 ปริมาณ
$182,284 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$182,284 ปริมาณ
$182,284 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life imprisonment sentence for insurrection, tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, anchors the 92.6% trader consensus against release before 2027. The former president remains at Seoul Detention Center while multiple related criminal cases proceed and appeals move forward, with the process expected to extend well into 2027 under South Korean judicial timelines. Recent court actions, including new detention warrants and rulings upholding custody, have reinforced extended confinement rather than any pathway to early release or bail. These developments, combined with the absence of successful appeals or executive intervention to date, explain the strong market positioning, though ongoing litigation leaves room for procedural shifts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$182,284วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life imprisonment sentence for insurrection, tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, anchors the 92.6% trader consensus against release before 2027. The former president remains at Seoul Detention Center while multiple related criminal cases proceed and appeals move forward, with the process expected to extend well into 2027 under South Korean judicial timelines. Recent court actions, including new detention warrants and rulings upholding custody, have reinforced extended confinement rather than any pathway to early release or bail. These developments, combined with the absence of successful appeals or executive intervention to date, explain the strong market positioning, though ongoing litigation leaves room for procedural shifts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$182,284วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life imprisonment sentence for insurrection, tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, anchors the 92.6% trader consensus against release before 2027. The former president remains at Seoul Detention Center while multiple related criminal cases proceed and appeals move forward, with the process expected to extend well into 2027 under South Korean judicial timelines. Recent court actions, including new detention warrants and rulings upholding custody, have reinforced extended confinement rather than any pathway to early release or bail. These developments, combined with the absence of successful appeals or executive intervention to date, explain the strong market positioning, though ongoing litigation leaves room for procedural shifts within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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