**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol's life imprisonment sentence in February 2026 for leading an insurrection—stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration—drives trader consensus at 86.4% against his release from custody before 2027.** The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment and removed him from office in April 2025, paving the way for criminal trials. An appeals court imposed an additional seven-year term on April 29, 2026, for resisting arrest and sidestepping a Cabinet meeting. Despite ongoing appeals and two further trials, procedural timelines, evidence destruction risks cited in prior detention warrants, and the gravity of convictions signal prolonged detention at Seoul Detention Centre, with low prospects for bail or acquittal reversal within the year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$11,298 ปริมาณ
$11,298 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$11,298 ปริมาณ
$11,298 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol's life imprisonment sentence in February 2026 for leading an insurrection—stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration—drives trader consensus at 86.4% against his release from custody before 2027.** The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment and removed him from office in April 2025, paving the way for criminal trials. An appeals court imposed an additional seven-year term on April 29, 2026, for resisting arrest and sidestepping a Cabinet meeting. Despite ongoing appeals and two further trials, procedural timelines, evidence destruction risks cited in prior detention warrants, and the gravity of convictions signal prolonged detention at Seoul Detention Centre, with low prospects for bail or acquittal reversal within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,298วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol's life imprisonment sentence in February 2026 for leading an insurrection—stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration—drives trader consensus at 86.4% against his release from custody before 2027.** The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment and removed him from office in April 2025, paving the way for criminal trials. An appeals court imposed an additional seven-year term on April 29, 2026, for resisting arrest and sidestepping a Cabinet meeting. Despite ongoing appeals and two further trials, procedural timelines, evidence destruction risks cited in prior detention warrants, and the gravity of convictions signal prolonged detention at Seoul Detention Centre, with low prospects for bail or acquittal reversal within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,298วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol's life imprisonment sentence in February 2026 for leading an insurrection—stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration—drives trader consensus at 86.4% against his release from custody before 2027.** The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment and removed him from office in April 2025, paving the way for criminal trials. An appeals court imposed an additional seven-year term on April 29, 2026, for resisting arrest and sidestepping a Cabinet meeting. Despite ongoing appeals and two further trials, procedural timelines, evidence destruction risks cited in prior detention warrants, and the gravity of convictions signal prolonged detention at Seoul Detention Centre, with low prospects for bail or acquittal reversal within the year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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