The Bank of Korea's August 2026 rate decision reflects closely balanced trader sentiment amid upgraded 2026 inflation and growth forecasts of 2.7% and 2.6%, respectively, following May's eighth consecutive hold at the 2.50% base rate. Elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions have lifted CPI to 2.6% in April while supporting semiconductor-driven exports, creating tension between price-stability concerns and resilient GDP momentum under new Governor Shin Hyun-song. Recent hawkish commentary emphasizing timely tightening to keep inflation above target for an extended period competes with data dependence and external volatility, keeping implied probabilities for a 25-basis-point cut, no change, or 25-basis-point hike within a narrow 44-45.5% range. July's meeting and upcoming inflation releases represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Korea decision in August?
Bank of Korea decision in August?
25 bps cut 46%
25 bps hike 43%
50+ bps hike 17%
50+ bps cut 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
50+ bps cut
4%
25 bps cut
46%
No Change
45%
25 bps hike
43%
50+ bps hike
17%
25 bps cut 46%
25 bps hike 43%
50+ bps hike 17%
50+ bps cut 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
50+ bps cut
$1,164 ปริมาณ
4%
25 bps cut
$17 ปริมาณ
46%
No Change
$94 ปริมาณ
45%
25 bps hike
$17 ปริมาณ
43%
50+ bps hike
$16 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea's August 2026 rate decision reflects closely balanced trader sentiment amid upgraded 2026 inflation and growth forecasts of 2.7% and 2.6%, respectively, following May's eighth consecutive hold at the 2.50% base rate. Elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions have lifted CPI to 2.6% in April while supporting semiconductor-driven exports, creating tension between price-stability concerns and resilient GDP momentum under new Governor Shin Hyun-song. Recent hawkish commentary emphasizing timely tightening to keep inflation above target for an extended period competes with data dependence and external volatility, keeping implied probabilities for a 25-basis-point cut, no change, or 25-basis-point hike within a narrow 44-45.5% range. July's meeting and upcoming inflation releases represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied path.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,309วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea's August 2026 rate decision reflects closely balanced trader sentiment amid upgraded 2026 inflation and growth forecasts of 2.7% and 2.6%, respectively, following May's eighth consecutive hold at the 2.50% base rate. Elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions have lifted CPI to 2.6% in April while supporting semiconductor-driven exports, creating tension between price-stability concerns and resilient GDP momentum under new Governor Shin Hyun-song. Recent hawkish commentary emphasizing timely tightening to keep inflation above target for an extended period competes with data dependence and external volatility, keeping implied probabilities for a 25-basis-point cut, no change, or 25-basis-point hike within a narrow 44-45.5% range. July's meeting and upcoming inflation releases represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied path.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,309วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea's August 2026 rate decision reflects closely balanced trader sentiment amid upgraded 2026 inflation and growth forecasts of 2.7% and 2.6%, respectively, following May's eighth consecutive hold at the 2.50% base rate. Elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions have lifted CPI to 2.6% in April while supporting semiconductor-driven exports, creating tension between price-stability concerns and resilient GDP momentum under new Governor Shin Hyun-song. Recent hawkish commentary emphasizing timely tightening to keep inflation above target for an extended period competes with data dependence and external volatility, keeping implied probabilities for a 25-basis-point cut, no change, or 25-basis-point hike within a narrow 44-45.5% range. July's meeting and upcoming inflation releases represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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